Ongoing US-Iran tensions and airstrikes since late February 2026 have centered on military targets, with recent American strikes in early June hitting surveillance, communications, and air-defense sites. Negotiations produced a draft memorandum announced June 14, with electronic signing reported and a formal agreement expected around June 19 in Switzerland to end hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and address nuclear issues. No ground operations or official visits by US congressional members, Trump administration figures, or other listed individuals have occurred or been scheduled inside Iran. The market reflects trader consensus on the low probability of any physical entry by the deadline amid active diplomacy and the absence of invasion plans.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$16,199,192 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Any U.S. Senator
1%
Marco Rubio
<1%
JD Vance
<1%
Donald Trump
<1%
Pete Hegseth
<1%
Any U.S. House member
<1%
Jared Kushner
<1%
Benjamin Netanyahu
<1%
$16,199,192 Vol.
Any U.S. Senator
$68,054 Vol.
1%
Marco Rubio
$89,774 Vol.
<1%
JD Vance
$2,639,819 Vol.
<1%
Donald Trump
$125,783 Vol.
<1%
Pete Hegseth
$224,886 Vol.
<1%
Any U.S. House member
$123,929 Vol.
<1%
Jared Kushner
$870,992 Vol.
<1%
Benjamin Netanyahu
$12,055,955 Vol.
<1%
If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing US-Iran tensions and airstrikes since late February 2026 have centered on military targets, with recent American strikes in early June hitting surveillance, communications, and air-defense sites. Negotiations produced a draft memorandum announced June 14, with electronic signing reported and a formal agreement expected around June 19 in Switzerland to end hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and address nuclear issues. No ground operations or official visits by US congressional members, Trump administration figures, or other listed individuals have occurred or been scheduled inside Iran. The market reflects trader consensus on the low probability of any physical entry by the deadline amid active diplomacy and the absence of invasion plans.
If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Mar 1, 2026, 3:08 PM ET
Volume
$16,199,192Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Mar 1, 2026, 3:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing US-Iran tensions and airstrikes since late February 2026 have centered on military targets, with recent American strikes in early June hitting surveillance, communications, and air-defense sites. Negotiations produced a draft memorandum announced June 14, with electronic signing reported and a formal agreement expected around June 19 in Switzerland to end hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and address nuclear issues. No ground operations or official visits by US congressional members, Trump administration figures, or other listed individuals have occurred or been scheduled inside Iran. The market reflects trader consensus on the low probability of any physical entry by the deadline amid active diplomacy and the absence of invasion plans.
If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$16,199,192Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Mar 1, 2026, 3:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran tensions and airstrikes since late February 2026 have centered on military targets, with recent American strikes in early June hitting surveillance, communications, and air-defense sites. Negotiations produced a draft memorandum announced June 14, with electronic signing reported and a formal agreement expected around June 19 in Switzerland to end hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and address nuclear issues. No ground operations or official visits by US congressional members, Trump administration figures, or other listed individuals have occurred or been scheduled inside Iran. The market reflects trader consensus on the low probability of any physical entry by the deadline amid active diplomacy and the absence of invasion plans.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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