Democrats’ prospects for regaining House control in the November 2026 midterms represent the central driver behind the 67% implied probability on this market. Republicans currently hold narrow majorities in both chambers, and no impeachment articles have advanced, though multiple Democratic resolutions have already been introduced. President Trump has publicly warned that Democrats would pursue impeachment if they win the House, a view reinforced by polling showing slim majorities viewing grounds as present. Historical precedent of opposition-led inquiries after midterms sustains trader expectations of a simple-majority House vote before January 2029, even as Senate conviction remains improbable under current conditions. Midterm outcomes and any intervening events could still alter the trajectory.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiWill Trump be impeached before his term ends?
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
67% peluang
$94,580 Vol.
$94,580 Vol.
Jan 19, 2029
67% peluang
$94,580 Vol.
$94,580 Vol.
Jan 19, 2029
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democrats’ prospects for regaining House control in the November 2026 midterms represent the central driver behind the 67% implied probability on this market. Republicans currently hold narrow majorities in both chambers, and no impeachment articles have advanced, though multiple Democratic resolutions have already been introduced. President Trump has publicly warned that Democrats would pursue impeachment if they win the House, a view reinforced by polling showing slim majorities viewing grounds as present. Historical precedent of opposition-led inquiries after midterms sustains trader expectations of a simple-majority House vote before January 2029, even as Senate conviction remains improbable under current conditions. Midterm outcomes and any intervening events could still alter the trajectory.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Volume
$94,580Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 20, 2029Pasar Dibuka
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democrats’ prospects for regaining House control in the November 2026 midterms represent the central driver behind the 67% implied probability on this market. Republicans currently hold narrow majorities in both chambers, and no impeachment articles have advanced, though multiple Democratic resolutions have already been introduced. President Trump has publicly warned that Democrats would pursue impeachment if they win the House, a view reinforced by polling showing slim majorities viewing grounds as present. Historical precedent of opposition-led inquiries after midterms sustains trader expectations of a simple-majority House vote before January 2029, even as Senate conviction remains improbable under current conditions. Midterm outcomes and any intervening events could still alter the trajectory.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$94,580Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 20, 2029Pasar Dibuka
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Democrats’ prospects for regaining House control in the November 2026 midterms represent the central driver behind the 67% implied probability on this market. Republicans currently hold narrow majorities in both chambers, and no impeachment articles have advanced, though multiple Democratic resolutions have already been introduced. President Trump has publicly warned that Democrats would pursue impeachment if they win the House, a view reinforced by polling showing slim majorities viewing grounds as present. Historical precedent of opposition-led inquiries after midterms sustains trader expectations of a simple-majority House vote before January 2029, even as Senate conviction remains improbable under current conditions. Midterm outcomes and any intervening events could still alter the trajectory.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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