President Donald Trump’s pattern of direct, confrontational rhetoric continues to shape trader assessments in daily markets on whether he will publicly insult someone on a given date. Recent examples include his May 14 description of a reporter’s question about White House ballroom costs as “dumb,” along with pointed criticisms of Democrats and media figures on Truth Social. These exchanges occur amid ongoing diplomatic tensions with Iran and domestic policy debates, where Trump has repeatedly used strong language toward opponents and journalists. Daily probabilities reflect traders’ expectations that such statements remain likely during press interactions, social-media activity, or public appearances, while any day without notable remarks can quickly shift implied odds. Scheduled events such as upcoming briefings or statements on tariffs and foreign policy may provide additional opportunities for similar language.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiWill Trump publicly insult someone on...?
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
$509,115 Vol.
May 31, 2026
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94%
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93%
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$509,115 Vol.
May 18
$7,892 Vol.
94%
May 19
$1,979 Vol.
93%
May 20
$1,797 Vol.
91%
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$748 Vol.
90%
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$1,083 Vol.
93%
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$153 Vol.
91%
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$497 Vol.
90%
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$626 Vol.
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$735 Vol.
91%
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$1,035 Vol.
89%
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$523 Vol.
91%
May 29
$383 Vol.
91%
May 30
$97 Vol.
91%
May 31
$399 Vol.
90%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump’s pattern of direct, confrontational rhetoric continues to shape trader assessments in daily markets on whether he will publicly insult someone on a given date. Recent examples include his May 14 description of a reporter’s question about White House ballroom costs as “dumb,” along with pointed criticisms of Democrats and media figures on Truth Social. These exchanges occur amid ongoing diplomatic tensions with Iran and domestic policy debates, where Trump has repeatedly used strong language toward opponents and journalists. Daily probabilities reflect traders’ expectations that such statements remain likely during press interactions, social-media activity, or public appearances, while any day without notable remarks can quickly shift implied odds. Scheduled events such as upcoming briefings or statements on tariffs and foreign policy may provide additional opportunities for similar language.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 30, 2026, 11:29 AM ET
Volume
$509,115Tanggal Berakhir
May 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 30, 2026, 11:29 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump’s pattern of direct, confrontational rhetoric continues to shape trader assessments in daily markets on whether he will publicly insult someone on a given date. Recent examples include his May 14 description of a reporter’s question about White House ballroom costs as “dumb,” along with pointed criticisms of Democrats and media figures on Truth Social. These exchanges occur amid ongoing diplomatic tensions with Iran and domestic policy debates, where Trump has repeatedly used strong language toward opponents and journalists. Daily probabilities reflect traders’ expectations that such statements remain likely during press interactions, social-media activity, or public appearances, while any day without notable remarks can quickly shift implied odds. Scheduled events such as upcoming briefings or statements on tariffs and foreign policy may provide additional opportunities for similar language.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$509,115Tanggal Berakhir
May 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Apr 30, 2026, 11:29 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump’s pattern of direct, confrontational rhetoric continues to shape trader assessments in daily markets on whether he will publicly insult someone on a given date. Recent examples include his May 14 description of a reporter’s question about White House ballroom costs as “dumb,” along with pointed criticisms of Democrats and media figures on Truth Social. These exchanges occur amid ongoing diplomatic tensions with Iran and domestic policy debates, where Trump has repeatedly used strong language toward opponents and journalists. Daily probabilities reflect traders’ expectations that such statements remain likely during press interactions, social-media activity, or public appearances, while any day without notable remarks can quickly shift implied odds. Scheduled events such as upcoming briefings or statements on tariffs and foreign policy may provide additional opportunities for similar language.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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