Recent diplomatic signals from Russian officials have positioned a potential Trump-Putin meeting at the November APEC summit in Shenzhen, China, as the leading scenario driving trader consensus. Kremlin aide Yuri Ushakov and spokesman Dmitry Peskov confirmed that both leaders plan to attend the November 18-19 event, where bilateral or trilateral talks with Xi Jinping were discussed following recent U.S.-Russia envoy visits and a September phone call focused on Ukraine. This builds on the 2025 Alaska summit and ongoing efforts to advance relations amid stalled negotiations. Uncertainty over final attendance and scheduling contributes to the notable share assigned to no meeting by year-end, while alternative venues lack comparable recent official backing or scheduled multilateral forums.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiChina 62%
No meeting by December 31 32%
United States 3.2%
Russia 1.4%
$1,144,931 Vol.
$1,144,931 Vol.

China
62%

No meeting by December 31
32%

United States
3%

Russia
1%

Switzerland
1%

Turkey
1%

Gulf country
1%

Other
1%

Finland
<1%

Belarus
<1%

Other EU country
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Japan
<1%

Australia
<1%

Ukraine
<1%
China 62%
No meeting by December 31 32%
United States 3.2%
Russia 1.4%
$1,144,931 Vol.
$1,144,931 Vol.

China
62%

No meeting by December 31
32%

United States
3%

Russia
1%

Switzerland
1%

Turkey
1%

Gulf country
1%

Other
1%

Finland
<1%

Belarus
<1%

Other EU country
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Japan
<1%

Australia
<1%

Ukraine
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent diplomatic signals from Russian officials have positioned a potential Trump-Putin meeting at the November APEC summit in Shenzhen, China, as the leading scenario driving trader consensus. Kremlin aide Yuri Ushakov and spokesman Dmitry Peskov confirmed that both leaders plan to attend the November 18-19 event, where bilateral or trilateral talks with Xi Jinping were discussed following recent U.S.-Russia envoy visits and a September phone call focused on Ukraine. This builds on the 2025 Alaska summit and ongoing efforts to advance relations amid stalled negotiations. Uncertainty over final attendance and scheduling contributes to the notable share assigned to no meeting by year-end, while alternative venues lack comparable recent official backing or scheduled multilateral forums.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui


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