Republican control of the House through the 2026 midterms forms the core structural barrier, as articles of impeachment require a simple majority vote that the current GOP majority has consistently declined to advance despite isolated Democratic filings. Trader consensus at 98.4% for no impeachment by December 31, 2026 reflects these calendar and institutional thresholds, with any potential Democratic gains not taking effect until the new Congress convenes in January 2027. Late developments such as an unexpected bipartisan coalition, major scandal prompting cross-aisle support, or procedural maneuvers could theoretically alter timelines, though historical patterns of partisan voting on impeachment make such catalysts low-probability events within the resolution window.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiYa
$1,002,676 Vol.
$1,002,676 Vol.
Ya
$1,002,676 Vol.
$1,002,676 Vol.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Resolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Republican control of the House through the 2026 midterms forms the core structural barrier, as articles of impeachment require a simple majority vote that the current GOP majority has consistently declined to advance despite isolated Democratic filings. Trader consensus at 98.4% for no impeachment by December 31, 2026 reflects these calendar and institutional thresholds, with any potential Democratic gains not taking effect until the new Congress convenes in January 2027. Late developments such as an unexpected bipartisan coalition, major scandal prompting cross-aisle support, or procedural maneuvers could theoretically alter timelines, though historical patterns of partisan voting on impeachment make such catalysts low-probability events within the resolution window.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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