Arizona's 6th congressional district remains one of the most competitive House seats heading into the November 3 general election, with an even partisan voter index and narrow Republican margins in recent presidential voting. Incumbent Republican Juan Ciscomani, who advanced unopposed in the July 21 primary, faces Democrat JoAnna Mendoza, also unopposed in her primary. Recent polling averages show Mendoza ahead by roughly three points, supported by stronger fundraising and Democratic targeting of the seat as a top flip opportunity. Broader midterm dynamics, where the out-party typically gains ground, have contributed to trader consensus favoring a Democratic outcome, though the race's toss-up status in most nonpartisan ratings leaves room for shifts from national conditions or late campaign developments.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoAZ-06 House Election Winner
AZ-06 House Election Winner
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 nov 2026
Democratic Party
83%
Republican Party
18%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$3,889 Vol.
83%
Republican Party
$5,982 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 6th congressional district remains one of the most competitive House seats heading into the November 3 general election, with an even partisan voter index and narrow Republican margins in recent presidential voting. Incumbent Republican Juan Ciscomani, who advanced unopposed in the July 21 primary, faces Democrat JoAnna Mendoza, also unopposed in her primary. Recent polling averages show Mendoza ahead by roughly three points, supported by stronger fundraising and Democratic targeting of the seat as a top flip opportunity. Broader midterm dynamics, where the out-party typically gains ground, have contributed to trader consensus favoring a Democratic outcome, though the race's toss-up status in most nonpartisan ratings leaves room for shifts from national conditions or late campaign developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ET
Volume
$9,871Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 6th congressional district remains one of the most competitive House seats heading into the November 3 general election, with an even partisan voter index and narrow Republican margins in recent presidential voting. Incumbent Republican Juan Ciscomani, who advanced unopposed in the July 21 primary, faces Democrat JoAnna Mendoza, also unopposed in her primary. Recent polling averages show Mendoza ahead by roughly three points, supported by stronger fundraising and Democratic targeting of the seat as a top flip opportunity. Broader midterm dynamics, where the out-party typically gains ground, have contributed to trader consensus favoring a Democratic outcome, though the race's toss-up status in most nonpartisan ratings leaves room for shifts from national conditions or late campaign developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$9,871Data di fine
4 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona's 6th congressional district remains one of the most competitive House seats heading into the November 3 general election, with an even partisan voter index and narrow Republican margins in recent presidential voting. Incumbent Republican Juan Ciscomani, who advanced unopposed in the July 21 primary, faces Democrat JoAnna Mendoza, also unopposed in her primary. Recent polling averages show Mendoza ahead by roughly three points, supported by stronger fundraising and Democratic targeting of the seat as a top flip opportunity. Broader midterm dynamics, where the out-party typically gains ground, have contributed to trader consensus favoring a Democratic outcome, though the race's toss-up status in most nonpartisan ratings leaves room for shifts from national conditions or late campaign developments.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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