The district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in a D+15 partisan voting index and strong recent performance by the incumbent, anchors trader sentiment for a Democratic hold. Suzan DelBene, first elected in 2012 and re-elected with over 63 percent in 2024, faces a top-two primary on August 4 with limited Republican opposition after the May filing deadline. Historical voting patterns, combined with the absence of competitive challengers or major external shifts, sustain the high implied probability. Any late developments, such as unexpected primary turnout or national political swings, remain the primary variables that could alter the current positioning before the November general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera WA-01
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera WA-01
$14,679 Vol.
$14,679 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
90%
Partito Repubblicano
7%
$14,679 Vol.
$14,679 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
$8,076 Vol.
90%
Partito Repubblicano
$6,603 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in a D+15 partisan voting index and strong recent performance by the incumbent, anchors trader sentiment for a Democratic hold. Suzan DelBene, first elected in 2012 and re-elected with over 63 percent in 2024, faces a top-two primary on August 4 with limited Republican opposition after the May filing deadline. Historical voting patterns, combined with the absence of competitive challengers or major external shifts, sustain the high implied probability. Any late developments, such as unexpected primary turnout or national political swings, remain the primary variables that could alter the current positioning before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$14,679Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in a D+15 partisan voting index and strong recent performance by the incumbent, anchors trader sentiment for a Democratic hold. Suzan DelBene, first elected in 2012 and re-elected with over 63 percent in 2024, faces a top-two primary on August 4 with limited Republican opposition after the May filing deadline. Historical voting patterns, combined with the absence of competitive challengers or major external shifts, sustain the high implied probability. Any late developments, such as unexpected primary turnout or national political swings, remain the primary variables that could alter the current positioning before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$14,679Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in a D+15 partisan voting index and strong recent performance by the incumbent, anchors trader sentiment for a Democratic hold. Suzan DelBene, first elected in 2012 and re-elected with over 63 percent in 2024, faces a top-two primary on August 4 with limited Republican opposition after the May filing deadline. Historical voting patterns, combined with the absence of competitive challengers or major external shifts, sustain the high implied probability. Any late developments, such as unexpected primary turnout or national political swings, remain the primary variables that could alter the current positioning before the November general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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