Incumbent Democrat Rick Larsen advanced easily through Washington's August 4 top-two primary alongside Republican Edwin Feller, reinforcing the district's long-standing Democratic tilt. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report rate the race Solid Democratic, consistent with Larsen's multiple prior terms and the area's voter registration and past election margins. This positioning underpins the market's 93.5% implied probability for a Democratic win, reflecting trader assessments of structural advantages and limited recent competitive signals. A November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican performance, though no such developments have materialized to date.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoWA-02 House Election Winner
WA-02 House Election Winner
$16,475 Vol.
$16,475 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$16,475 Vol.
$16,475 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$11,155 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$5,321 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Rick Larsen advanced easily through Washington's August 4 top-two primary alongside Republican Edwin Feller, reinforcing the district's long-standing Democratic tilt. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report rate the race Solid Democratic, consistent with Larsen's multiple prior terms and the area's voter registration and past election margins. This positioning underpins the market's 93.5% implied probability for a Democratic win, reflecting trader assessments of structural advantages and limited recent competitive signals. A November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican performance, though no such developments have materialized to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$16,475Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Rick Larsen advanced easily through Washington's August 4 top-two primary alongside Republican Edwin Feller, reinforcing the district's long-standing Democratic tilt. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report rate the race Solid Democratic, consistent with Larsen's multiple prior terms and the area's voter registration and past election margins. This positioning underpins the market's 93.5% implied probability for a Democratic win, reflecting trader assessments of structural advantages and limited recent competitive signals. A November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican performance, though no such developments have materialized to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$16,475Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Rick Larsen advanced easily through Washington's August 4 top-two primary alongside Republican Edwin Feller, reinforcing the district's long-standing Democratic tilt. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report rate the race Solid Democratic, consistent with Larsen's multiple prior terms and the area's voter registration and past election margins. This positioning underpins the market's 93.5% implied probability for a Democratic win, reflecting trader assessments of structural advantages and limited recent competitive signals. A November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican performance, though no such developments have materialized to date.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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