Caroline Elliott leads trader consensus at 77.5% implied probability in the Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership race, with voting underway since May 9 among 42,000 eligible members and results due May 30. Her dominance reflects a May 4 Pallas poll showing 31% first-preference support—well ahead of Kerry-Lynne Findlay's 24%—bolstered by strong debate performances, grassroots momentum, and pledges to unite the party fractured by John Rustad's ouster, repeal DRIPA, and crack down on temporary foreign workers. Findlay trails at 13.8% on federal MP experience, while Iain Black, Yuri Fulmer, and Peter Milobar linger below 5% amid lower poll numbers and limited fundraising. Ongoing preferential balloting and member verification could shift dynamics before the convention.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni per la leadership del partito conservatore BC
Vincitore delle elezioni per la leadership del partito conservatore BC
Caroline Elliott 78%
Kerry-Lynne Findlay 13.8%
Iain Black 4.2%
Yuri Fulmer 4.2%
$173,584 Vol.
$173,584 Vol.
Caroline Elliott
78%
Kerry-Lynne Findlay
14%
Iain Black
4%
Yuri Fulmer
4%
Peter Milobar
4%
Bruce Banman
<1%
Harman Bhangu
<1%
Warren Hamm
<1%
Darrell Jones
<1%
Caroline Elliott 78%
Kerry-Lynne Findlay 13.8%
Iain Black 4.2%
Yuri Fulmer 4.2%
$173,584 Vol.
$173,584 Vol.
Caroline Elliott
78%
Kerry-Lynne Findlay
14%
Iain Black
4%
Yuri Fulmer
4%
Peter Milobar
4%
Bruce Banman
<1%
Harman Bhangu
<1%
Warren Hamm
<1%
Darrell Jones
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.
Mercato aperto: Apr 6, 2026, 7:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Conservative Party of British Columbia.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Caroline Elliott leads trader consensus at 77.5% implied probability in the Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership race, with voting underway since May 9 among 42,000 eligible members and results due May 30. Her dominance reflects a May 4 Pallas poll showing 31% first-preference support—well ahead of Kerry-Lynne Findlay's 24%—bolstered by strong debate performances, grassroots momentum, and pledges to unite the party fractured by John Rustad's ouster, repeal DRIPA, and crack down on temporary foreign workers. Findlay trails at 13.8% on federal MP experience, while Iain Black, Yuri Fulmer, and Peter Milobar linger below 5% amid lower poll numbers and limited fundraising. Ongoing preferential balloting and member verification could shift dynamics before the convention.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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