Trader consensus positions Romeu Zema and Renan Santos as the closest contenders for third place in Brazil’s October 4, 2026 first round because the center-right and conservative vote remains fragmented behind Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro. Zema draws on his record as former Minas Gerais governor and Novo party base, while Santos gains from Mission Party mobilization and recent polling visibility. Ronaldo Caiado’s March selection as PSD nominee has consolidated some support yet leaves him further back amid competition from other right-leaning candidates. Upcoming national polls, state-level endorsements, and any shifts in economic sentiment could widen or narrow the gap among these contenders before voting begins.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoRomeu Zema 32%
Renan Santos 32%
Ronaldo Caiado 18%
Michelle Bolsonaro 4.3%
$282,682 Vol.
$282,682 Vol.
4 ott 2026
Romeu Zema
32%
Renan Santos
32%
Ronaldo Caiado
18%
Michelle Bolsonaro
4%
Fernando Haddad
4%
Flávio Bolsonaro
3%
Camilo Santana
1%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
1%
Jair Bolsonaro
1%
Geraldo Alckmin
1%
Eduardo Leite
1%
Tarcisio de Freitas
<1%
Eduardo Bolsonaro
<1%
Tereza Cristina
<1%
Ratinho Júnior
<1%
Helder Barbalho
<1%
Aldo Rebelo
<1%
Romeu Zema 32%
Renan Santos 32%
Ronaldo Caiado 18%
Michelle Bolsonaro 4.3%
$282,682 Vol.
$282,682 Vol.
4 ott 2026
Romeu Zema
$10,778 Vol.
32%
Renan Santos
$63,821 Vol.
32%
Ronaldo Caiado
$16,763 Vol.
18%
Michelle Bolsonaro
$4,817 Vol.
4%
Fernando Haddad
$14,354 Vol.
4%
Flávio Bolsonaro
$7,036 Vol.
3%
Camilo Santana
$6,116 Vol.
1%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
$5,286 Vol.
1%
Jair Bolsonaro
$4,092 Vol.
1%
Geraldo Alckmin
$4,260 Vol.
1%
Eduardo Leite
$2,559 Vol.
1%
Tarcisio de Freitas
$4,328 Vol.
<1%
Eduardo Bolsonaro
$39,622 Vol.
<1%
Tereza Cristina
$654 Vol.
<1%
Ratinho Júnior
$93,307 Vol.
<1%
Helder Barbalho
$354 Vol.
<1%
Aldo Rebelo
$4,536 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Trader consensus positions Romeu Zema and Renan Santos as the closest contenders for third place in Brazil’s October 4, 2026 first round because the center-right and conservative vote remains fragmented behind Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro. Zema draws on his record as former Minas Gerais governor and Novo party base, while Santos gains from Mission Party mobilization and recent polling visibility. Ronaldo Caiado’s March selection as PSD nominee has consolidated some support yet leaves him further back amid competition from other right-leaning candidates. Upcoming national polls, state-level endorsements, and any shifts in economic sentiment could widen or narrow the gap among these contenders before voting begins.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Mercato aperto: Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Volume
$282,682Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Trader consensus positions Romeu Zema and Renan Santos as the closest contenders for third place in Brazil’s October 4, 2026 first round because the center-right and conservative vote remains fragmented behind Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro. Zema draws on his record as former Minas Gerais governor and Novo party base, while Santos gains from Mission Party mobilization and recent polling visibility. Ronaldo Caiado’s March selection as PSD nominee has consolidated some support yet leaves him further back amid competition from other right-leaning candidates. Upcoming national polls, state-level endorsements, and any shifts in economic sentiment could widen or narrow the gap among these contenders before voting begins.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$282,682Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus positions Romeu Zema and Renan Santos as the closest contenders for third place in Brazil’s October 4, 2026 first round because the center-right and conservative vote remains fragmented behind Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro. Zema draws on his record as former Minas Gerais governor and Novo party base, while Santos gains from Mission Party mobilization and recent polling visibility. Ronaldo Caiado’s March selection as PSD nominee has consolidated some support yet leaves him further back amid competition from other right-leaning candidates. Upcoming national polls, state-level endorsements, and any shifts in economic sentiment could widen or narrow the gap among these contenders before voting begins.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti