Democratic state Assemblymember Jacqui Irwin holds a commanding lead in California's 26th congressional district race following her strong performance in the June 2026 top-two primary, where she captured over 41% of the vote ahead of Republican Sam Gallucci. The open seat, vacated by retiring incumbent Julia Brownley, sits in a district with a Democratic lean reinforced by recent mid-decade redistricting and voter registration advantages. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, citing the district's history and fundamentals that align with the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. A late development such as a significant scandal, health event, or sharp national political shift could narrow the margin, though the projected gap and lack of competitive polling leave limited room for Republican gains before the November general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera CA-26
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera CA-26
$32,154 Vol.
$32,154 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
95%
Partito Repubblicano
6%
$32,154 Vol.
$32,154 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
$16,426 Vol.
95%
Partito Repubblicano
$15,728 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic state Assemblymember Jacqui Irwin holds a commanding lead in California's 26th congressional district race following her strong performance in the June 2026 top-two primary, where she captured over 41% of the vote ahead of Republican Sam Gallucci. The open seat, vacated by retiring incumbent Julia Brownley, sits in a district with a Democratic lean reinforced by recent mid-decade redistricting and voter registration advantages. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, citing the district's history and fundamentals that align with the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. A late development such as a significant scandal, health event, or sharp national political shift could narrow the margin, though the projected gap and lack of competitive polling leave limited room for Republican gains before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volume
$32,154Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic state Assemblymember Jacqui Irwin holds a commanding lead in California's 26th congressional district race following her strong performance in the June 2026 top-two primary, where she captured over 41% of the vote ahead of Republican Sam Gallucci. The open seat, vacated by retiring incumbent Julia Brownley, sits in a district with a Democratic lean reinforced by recent mid-decade redistricting and voter registration advantages. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, citing the district's history and fundamentals that align with the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. A late development such as a significant scandal, health event, or sharp national political shift could narrow the margin, though the projected gap and lack of competitive polling leave limited room for Republican gains before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$32,154Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic state Assemblymember Jacqui Irwin holds a commanding lead in California's 26th congressional district race following her strong performance in the June 2026 top-two primary, where she captured over 41% of the vote ahead of Republican Sam Gallucci. The open seat, vacated by retiring incumbent Julia Brownley, sits in a district with a Democratic lean reinforced by recent mid-decade redistricting and voter registration advantages. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, citing the district's history and fundamentals that align with the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. A late development such as a significant scandal, health event, or sharp national political shift could narrow the margin, though the projected gap and lack of competitive polling leave limited room for Republican gains before the November general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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