Abelardo de la Espriella holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for securing the most votes in Antioquia during the June 21 runoff, reflecting the department’s established conservative voter base and his strong first-round performance across its municipalities. Right-wing networks and historical patterns of support in the region have reinforced this positioning ahead of the contest against Iván Cepeda Castro. The implied probability aligns with de la Espriella’s broader coalition advantages in inland conservative strongholds. Potential shifts could arise from unusually high turnout among centrist or undecided voters, targeted campaign appeals in the final weeks, or unexpected national developments that alter regional dynamics before election day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Abelardo de la Espriella
98%

Iván Cepeda Castro
2%

Abelardo de la Espriella
98%

Iván Cepeda Castro
2%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Department of Antioquia in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Mercato aperto: Jun 5, 2026, 3:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Department of Antioquia in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Abelardo de la Espriella holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for securing the most votes in Antioquia during the June 21 runoff, reflecting the department’s established conservative voter base and his strong first-round performance across its municipalities. Right-wing networks and historical patterns of support in the region have reinforced this positioning ahead of the contest against Iván Cepeda Castro. The implied probability aligns with de la Espriella’s broader coalition advantages in inland conservative strongholds. Potential shifts could arise from unusually high turnout among centrist or undecided voters, targeted campaign appeals in the final weeks, or unexpected national developments that alter regional dynamics before election day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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