Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting international models, including timeanddate and BBC Weather, project a maximum of 37°C in Chengdu on August 13 under sunny skies with light winds. This consensus stems from current atmospheric conditions favoring clear, stable weather amid the typical late-summer heat buildup, following recent daily highs of 36°C. Historical August averages hover near 30–34°C, but recent model runs show elevated readings consistent with observed warming patterns. Market-implied probabilities center on 37°C and 38°C because minor variations in local heat indices or brief cloud cover could shift the exact peak, while lower or higher extremes remain unlikely given the forecast stability ahead of final observational data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Chengdu il 13 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Chengdu il 13 agosto?
37°C 45%
38°C 30%
36°C 17%
39°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 ago 2026
32°C o inferiore
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
5%
36°C
17%
37°C
45%
38°C
30%
39°C
8%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C o superiore
<1%
37°C 45%
38°C 30%
36°C 17%
39°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 ago 2026
32°C o inferiore
$1,226 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$345 Vol.
1%
34°C
$511 Vol.
2%
35°C
$266 Vol.
5%
36°C
$416 Vol.
17%
37°C
$2,316 Vol.
45%
38°C
$1,051 Vol.
30%
39°C
$691 Vol.
8%
40°C
$655 Vol.
<1%
41°C
$526 Vol.
<1%
42°C o superiore
$199 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting international models, including timeanddate and BBC Weather, project a maximum of 37°C in Chengdu on August 13 under sunny skies with light winds. This consensus stems from current atmospheric conditions favoring clear, stable weather amid the typical late-summer heat buildup, following recent daily highs of 36°C. Historical August averages hover near 30–34°C, but recent model runs show elevated readings consistent with observed warming patterns. Market-implied probabilities center on 37°C and 38°C because minor variations in local heat indices or brief cloud cover could shift the exact peak, while lower or higher extremes remain unlikely given the forecast stability ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$8,203Data di fine
13 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting international models, including timeanddate and BBC Weather, project a maximum of 37°C in Chengdu on August 13 under sunny skies with light winds. This consensus stems from current atmospheric conditions favoring clear, stable weather amid the typical late-summer heat buildup, following recent daily highs of 36°C. Historical August averages hover near 30–34°C, but recent model runs show elevated readings consistent with observed warming patterns. Market-implied probabilities center on 37°C and 38°C because minor variations in local heat indices or brief cloud cover could shift the exact peak, while lower or higher extremes remain unlikely given the forecast stability ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,203Data di fine
13 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting international models, including timeanddate and BBC Weather, project a maximum of 37°C in Chengdu on August 13 under sunny skies with light winds. This consensus stems from current atmospheric conditions favoring clear, stable weather amid the typical late-summer heat buildup, following recent daily highs of 36°C. Historical August averages hover near 30–34°C, but recent model runs show elevated readings consistent with observed warming patterns. Market-implied probabilities center on 37°C and 38°C because minor variations in local heat indices or brief cloud cover could shift the exact peak, while lower or higher extremes remain unlikely given the forecast stability ahead of final observational data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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