Traders heavily favor 90-91°F as Denver’s highest temperature on August 24, with 57.5% implied probability, because National Weather Service and NOAA ensemble models show daytime highs stabilizing in that narrow range under persistent high-pressure ridging and light winds typical of late-summer conditions. Recent model runs align closely with climatological baselines for Denver in late August, where average highs reach 85-90°F, without strong signals for either enhanced warming from downslope flow or cooling from increased moisture or cloud cover. Key resolution factors include official afternoon observations and any last-minute forecast adjustments before verification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Denver il 24 agosto?
90-91°F 57%
92-93°F 29%
88-89°F 11%
94-95°F 4%
79°F o inferiore
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
11%
90-91°F
57%
92-93°F
29%
94-95°F
4%
96-97°F
2%
98°F o superiore
1%
90-91°F 57%
92-93°F 29%
88-89°F 11%
94-95°F 4%
79°F o inferiore
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
11%
90-91°F
57%
92-93°F
29%
94-95°F
4%
96-97°F
2%
98°F o superiore
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders heavily favor 90-91°F as Denver’s highest temperature on August 24, with 57.5% implied probability, because National Weather Service and NOAA ensemble models show daytime highs stabilizing in that narrow range under persistent high-pressure ridging and light winds typical of late-summer conditions. Recent model runs align closely with climatological baselines for Denver in late August, where average highs reach 85-90°F, without strong signals for either enhanced warming from downslope flow or cooling from increased moisture or cloud cover. Key resolution factors include official afternoon observations and any last-minute forecast adjustments before verification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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