Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts currently center London's maximum temperature on May 18 near 14–16 °C, driven by an unsettled Atlantic low-pressure system tracking across the UK and producing cooler, showery conditions. This consensus explains why 15 °C leads trader-implied probabilities, reflecting a modest negative anomaly relative to the mid-May climatological average of 16–17 °C recorded at London City Airport. Model runs indicate light winds and variable cloud cover that limit daytime heating, while any shifts in the low's track or timing could alter outcomes ahead of official verification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Londra il 18 maggio?
La temperatura più alta di Londra il 18 maggio?
15°C 45%
16°C 24%
14°C 22%
17°C 7.2%
NUOVO
$44,922 Vol.
NUOVO
$44,922 Vol.
18 mag 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
22%
15°C
45%
16°C
24%
17°C
7%
18°C or higher
1%
15°C 45%
16°C 24%
14°C 22%
17°C 7.2%
NUOVO
$44,922 Vol.
NUOVO
$44,922 Vol.
18 mag 2026
8°C or below
$1,891 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$6,300 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$1,833 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,698 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$3,278 Vol.
1%
13°C
$4,970 Vol.
3%
14°C
$3,839 Vol.
22%
15°C
$4,215 Vol.
45%
16°C
$5,443 Vol.
24%
17°C
$4,417 Vol.
7%
18°C or higher
$7,136 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts currently center London's maximum temperature on May 18 near 14–16 °C, driven by an unsettled Atlantic low-pressure system tracking across the UK and producing cooler, showery conditions. This consensus explains why 15 °C leads trader-implied probabilities, reflecting a modest negative anomaly relative to the mid-May climatological average of 16–17 °C recorded at London City Airport. Model runs indicate light winds and variable cloud cover that limit daytime heating, while any shifts in the low's track or timing could alter outcomes ahead of official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$44,922Data di fine
18 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts currently center London's maximum temperature on May 18 near 14–16 °C, driven by an unsettled Atlantic low-pressure system tracking across the UK and producing cooler, showery conditions. This consensus explains why 15 °C leads trader-implied probabilities, reflecting a modest negative anomaly relative to the mid-May climatological average of 16–17 °C recorded at London City Airport. Model runs indicate light winds and variable cloud cover that limit daytime heating, while any shifts in the low's track or timing could alter outcomes ahead of official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$44,922Data di fine
18 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCEnsemble forecasts from the Met Office and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts currently center London's maximum temperature on May 18 near 14–16 °C, driven by an unsettled Atlantic low-pressure system tracking across the UK and producing cooler, showery conditions. This consensus explains why 15 °C leads trader-implied probabilities, reflecting a modest negative anomaly relative to the mid-May climatological average of 16–17 °C recorded at London City Airport. Model runs indicate light winds and variable cloud cover that limit daytime heating, while any shifts in the low's track or timing could alter outcomes ahead of official verification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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