Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for Miami's May 17 high temperature, with ensemble models clustering outcomes around 84-87°F amid partly sunny skies and 30-50% chances of afternoon thunderstorms that could cap peaks via convective cooling. Recent GFS runs imply slightly warmer 88-89°F potential under light east-southeast winds and high sea surface temperatures near 82°F fueling humidity, while ECMWF guidance leans cooler at 84-86°F due to possible sea breeze enhancements and isolated showers. Climatological May 17 highs average 87°F at Miami International Airport, with urban heat effects adding 1-2°F; new model outputs expected Saturday morning could sharpen the mid-80s split.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Miami il 17 maggio?
La temperatura più alta di Miami il 17 maggio?
88-89°F 36%
86-87°F 32%
84-85°F 20%
82-83°F 9%
75°F o meno
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
9%
84-85°F
20%
86-87°F
32%
88-89°F
36%
90-91°F
7%
92-93°F
3%
94°F o superiore
2%
88-89°F 36%
86-87°F 32%
84-85°F 20%
82-83°F 9%
75°F o meno
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
9%
84-85°F
20%
86-87°F
32%
88-89°F
36%
90-91°F
7%
92-93°F
3%
94°F o superiore
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIATrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for Miami's May 17 high temperature, with ensemble models clustering outcomes around 84-87°F amid partly sunny skies and 30-50% chances of afternoon thunderstorms that could cap peaks via convective cooling. Recent GFS runs imply slightly warmer 88-89°F potential under light east-southeast winds and high sea surface temperatures near 82°F fueling humidity, while ECMWF guidance leans cooler at 84-86°F due to possible sea breeze enhancements and isolated showers. Climatological May 17 highs average 87°F at Miami International Airport, with urban heat effects adding 1-2°F; new model outputs expected Saturday morning could sharpen the mid-80s split.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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