Météo-France forecasts and ensemble model consensus indicate a maximum of 38°C at the Paris-Le Bourget station on August 13, 2026, under a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies, strong insolation, and minimal wind shear that favors peak afternoon heating. This aligns with regional guidance clustering between 37–39°C, where the urban heat island effect reliably adds 1–2°C relative to surrounding areas. The market’s near-certain 38°C outcome reflects stable synoptic conditions with little day-to-day revision since early August. Minor uncertainties remain around boundary-layer moisture or exact frontal timing, which could shift the official reading to 37°C if updated model runs or observational adjustments occur before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Parigi il 13 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Parigi il 13 agosto?
38°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$77,172 Vol.
$77,172 Vol.
13 ago 2026
32°C or below
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
Yes
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C or higher
No
38°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$77,172 Vol.
$77,172 Vol.
13 ago 2026
32°C or below
$590 Vol.
No
33°C
$481 Vol.
No
34°C
$2,006 Vol.
No
35°C
$1,415 Vol.
No
36°C
$5,180 Vol.
No
37°C
$23,784 Vol.
No
38°C
$18,424 Vol.
Yes
39°C
$14,582 Vol.
No
40°C
$5,962 Vol.
No
41°C
$1,936 Vol.
No
42°C or higher
$2,812 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Météo-France forecasts and ensemble model consensus indicate a maximum of 38°C at the Paris-Le Bourget station on August 13, 2026, under a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies, strong insolation, and minimal wind shear that favors peak afternoon heating. This aligns with regional guidance clustering between 37–39°C, where the urban heat island effect reliably adds 1–2°C relative to surrounding areas. The market’s near-certain 38°C outcome reflects stable synoptic conditions with little day-to-day revision since early August. Minor uncertainties remain around boundary-layer moisture or exact frontal timing, which could shift the official reading to 37°C if updated model runs or observational adjustments occur before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$77,172Data di fine
13 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Météo-France forecasts and ensemble model consensus indicate a maximum of 38°C at the Paris-Le Bourget station on August 13, 2026, under a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies, strong insolation, and minimal wind shear that favors peak afternoon heating. This aligns with regional guidance clustering between 37–39°C, where the urban heat island effect reliably adds 1–2°C relative to surrounding areas. The market’s near-certain 38°C outcome reflects stable synoptic conditions with little day-to-day revision since early August. Minor uncertainties remain around boundary-layer moisture or exact frontal timing, which could shift the official reading to 37°C if updated model runs or observational adjustments occur before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$77,172Data di fine
13 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Météo-France forecasts and ensemble model consensus indicate a maximum of 38°C at the Paris-Le Bourget station on August 13, 2026, under a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies, strong insolation, and minimal wind shear that favors peak afternoon heating. This aligns with regional guidance clustering between 37–39°C, where the urban heat island effect reliably adds 1–2°C relative to surrounding areas. The market’s near-certain 38°C outcome reflects stable synoptic conditions with little day-to-day revision since early August. Minor uncertainties remain around boundary-layer moisture or exact frontal timing, which could shift the official reading to 37°C if updated model runs or observational adjustments occur before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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