Persistent marine layer influence and onshore flow from the Pacific kept San Francisco's August 14 high tightly constrained near seasonal norms, with National Weather Service observations confirming a peak of 70–71°F at downtown stations. This outcome aligns with climatological baselines of 67–70°F for mid-August and recent model guidance from NOAA showing limited warming due to persistent stratus and modest 925 mb temperatures. Trader consensus at 100% reflects the closed observational record, leaving little room for revision. Only an undetected station anomaly or post hoc data adjustment could alter resolution, scenarios with negligible probability given multiple verified reporting sites.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a San Francisco il 14 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a San Francisco il 14 agosto?
70-71°F 100.0%
59°F o meno <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$46,164 Vol.
$46,164 Vol.
14 ago 2026
59°F o meno
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
Sì
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78°F o superiore
No
70-71°F 100.0%
59°F o meno <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$46,164 Vol.
$46,164 Vol.
14 ago 2026
59°F o meno
$1,047 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$1,078 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$1,788 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$3,685 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$12,106 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$9,299 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$7,310 Vol.
Sì
72-73°F
$4,627 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$3,372 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$1,514 Vol.
No
78°F o superiore
$337 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer influence and onshore flow from the Pacific kept San Francisco's August 14 high tightly constrained near seasonal norms, with National Weather Service observations confirming a peak of 70–71°F at downtown stations. This outcome aligns with climatological baselines of 67–70°F for mid-August and recent model guidance from NOAA showing limited warming due to persistent stratus and modest 925 mb temperatures. Trader consensus at 100% reflects the closed observational record, leaving little room for revision. Only an undetected station anomaly or post hoc data adjustment could alter resolution, scenarios with negligible probability given multiple verified reporting sites.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$46,164Data di fine
14 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer influence and onshore flow from the Pacific kept San Francisco's August 14 high tightly constrained near seasonal norms, with National Weather Service observations confirming a peak of 70–71°F at downtown stations. This outcome aligns with climatological baselines of 67–70°F for mid-August and recent model guidance from NOAA showing limited warming due to persistent stratus and modest 925 mb temperatures. Trader consensus at 100% reflects the closed observational record, leaving little room for revision. Only an undetected station anomaly or post hoc data adjustment could alter resolution, scenarios with negligible probability given multiple verified reporting sites.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$46,164Data di fine
14 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Persistent marine layer influence and onshore flow from the Pacific kept San Francisco's August 14 high tightly constrained near seasonal norms, with National Weather Service observations confirming a peak of 70–71°F at downtown stations. This outcome aligns with climatological baselines of 67–70°F for mid-August and recent model guidance from NOAA showing limited warming due to persistent stratus and modest 925 mb temperatures. Trader consensus at 100% reflects the closed observational record, leaving little room for revision. Only an undetected station anomaly or post hoc data adjustment could alter resolution, scenarios with negligible probability given multiple verified reporting sites.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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