Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts and regional ensemble models point to a Taipei high near 31–32°C on May 18, placing those outcomes at the center of trader consensus. Mid-May climatology features building subtropical ridge influence that typically supports afternoon maxima in the upper 20s to low 30s, with limited moisture convergence ahead of the plum-rain onset. Key differentiating factors include forecast timing of peak insolation, possible diurnal cloud build-up, and minor variations in boundary-layer humidity that can shift the observed maximum by 1–2°C. Historical Central Weather Administration data show May 18 highs averaging around 30°C with a standard deviation of roughly 2°C, explaining why the market assigns comparable probabilities across 31°C, 32°C, and 33°C while discounting both cooler and significantly warmer scenarios.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Taipei il 18 maggio?
La temperatura più alta a Taipei il 18 maggio?
32°C 29%
31°C 24%
33°C 24%
34°C or higher 12.5%
NUOVO
$15,584 Vol.
NUOVO
$15,584 Vol.
18 mag 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
6%
30°C
11%
31°C
24%
32°C
29%
33°C
24%
34°C or higher
13%
32°C 29%
31°C 24%
33°C 24%
34°C or higher 12.5%
NUOVO
$15,584 Vol.
NUOVO
$15,584 Vol.
18 mag 2026
24°C or below
$908 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$879 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$985 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,008 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,592 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,502 Vol.
6%
30°C
$1,261 Vol.
11%
31°C
$1,523 Vol.
24%
32°C
$1,209 Vol.
29%
33°C
$1,481 Vol.
24%
34°C or higher
$2,238 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts and regional ensemble models point to a Taipei high near 31–32°C on May 18, placing those outcomes at the center of trader consensus. Mid-May climatology features building subtropical ridge influence that typically supports afternoon maxima in the upper 20s to low 30s, with limited moisture convergence ahead of the plum-rain onset. Key differentiating factors include forecast timing of peak insolation, possible diurnal cloud build-up, and minor variations in boundary-layer humidity that can shift the observed maximum by 1–2°C. Historical Central Weather Administration data show May 18 highs averaging around 30°C with a standard deviation of roughly 2°C, explaining why the market assigns comparable probabilities across 31°C, 32°C, and 33°C while discounting both cooler and significantly warmer scenarios.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$15,584Data di fine
18 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts and regional ensemble models point to a Taipei high near 31–32°C on May 18, placing those outcomes at the center of trader consensus. Mid-May climatology features building subtropical ridge influence that typically supports afternoon maxima in the upper 20s to low 30s, with limited moisture convergence ahead of the plum-rain onset. Key differentiating factors include forecast timing of peak insolation, possible diurnal cloud build-up, and minor variations in boundary-layer humidity that can shift the observed maximum by 1–2°C. Historical Central Weather Administration data show May 18 highs averaging around 30°C with a standard deviation of roughly 2°C, explaining why the market assigns comparable probabilities across 31°C, 32°C, and 33°C while discounting both cooler and significantly warmer scenarios.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$15,584Data di fine
18 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSRecent Central Weather Administration forecasts and regional ensemble models point to a Taipei high near 31–32°C on May 18, placing those outcomes at the center of trader consensus. Mid-May climatology features building subtropical ridge influence that typically supports afternoon maxima in the upper 20s to low 30s, with limited moisture convergence ahead of the plum-rain onset. Key differentiating factors include forecast timing of peak insolation, possible diurnal cloud build-up, and minor variations in boundary-layer humidity that can shift the observed maximum by 1–2°C. Historical Central Weather Administration data show May 18 highs averaging around 30°C with a standard deviation of roughly 2°C, explaining why the market assigns comparable probabilities across 31°C, 32°C, and 33°C while discounting both cooler and significantly warmer scenarios.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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