Latest MetService and regional model consensus positions Wellington’s August 13 maximum near 15°C under overcast skies and light northerly flow, keeping the daily high within a tight 14–16°C envelope. This aligns with typical mid-winter conditions where average August highs reach only about 13°C; the slight lift reflects mild northerly advection rather than any significant warm-air intrusion. NIWA’s seasonal outlook had already indicated near-average temperatures for the Wellington region with high confidence, and no major model runs have deviated substantially in the past 48 hours. Traders therefore assign the strongest implied probability to 15°C, followed by 14°C, as these outcomes capture the narrow forecast range while acknowledging residual uncertainty from possible timing shifts in cloud cover or wind.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Wellington il 13 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Wellington il 13 agosto?
15°C 56%
14°C 35%
13°C 6%
16°C 5%
NUOVO
$16,780 Vol.
NUOVO
$16,780 Vol.
13 ago 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
6%
14°C
35%
15°C
56%
16°C
5%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 56%
14°C 35%
13°C 6%
16°C 5%
NUOVO
$16,780 Vol.
NUOVO
$16,780 Vol.
13 ago 2026
9°C or below
$429 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$579 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$368 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$1,027 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$2,336 Vol.
6%
14°C
$3,014 Vol.
35%
15°C
$3,225 Vol.
56%
16°C
$3,055 Vol.
5%
17°C
$861 Vol.
2%
18°C
$888 Vol.
1%
19°C or higher
$998 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest MetService and regional model consensus positions Wellington’s August 13 maximum near 15°C under overcast skies and light northerly flow, keeping the daily high within a tight 14–16°C envelope. This aligns with typical mid-winter conditions where average August highs reach only about 13°C; the slight lift reflects mild northerly advection rather than any significant warm-air intrusion. NIWA’s seasonal outlook had already indicated near-average temperatures for the Wellington region with high confidence, and no major model runs have deviated substantially in the past 48 hours. Traders therefore assign the strongest implied probability to 15°C, followed by 14°C, as these outcomes capture the narrow forecast range while acknowledging residual uncertainty from possible timing shifts in cloud cover or wind.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$16,780Data di fine
13 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest MetService and regional model consensus positions Wellington’s August 13 maximum near 15°C under overcast skies and light northerly flow, keeping the daily high within a tight 14–16°C envelope. This aligns with typical mid-winter conditions where average August highs reach only about 13°C; the slight lift reflects mild northerly advection rather than any significant warm-air intrusion. NIWA’s seasonal outlook had already indicated near-average temperatures for the Wellington region with high confidence, and no major model runs have deviated substantially in the past 48 hours. Traders therefore assign the strongest implied probability to 15°C, followed by 14°C, as these outcomes capture the narrow forecast range while acknowledging residual uncertainty from possible timing shifts in cloud cover or wind.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16,780Data di fine
13 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest MetService and regional model consensus positions Wellington’s August 13 maximum near 15°C under overcast skies and light northerly flow, keeping the daily high within a tight 14–16°C envelope. This aligns with typical mid-winter conditions where average August highs reach only about 13°C; the slight lift reflects mild northerly advection rather than any significant warm-air intrusion. NIWA’s seasonal outlook had already indicated near-average temperatures for the Wellington region with high confidence, and no major model runs have deviated substantially in the past 48 hours. Traders therefore assign the strongest implied probability to 15°C, followed by 14°C, as these outcomes capture the narrow forecast range while acknowledging residual uncertainty from possible timing shifts in cloud cover or wind.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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