Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration supports a daily maximum near or above 32°C in Zhengzhou on August 23, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure favoring warm, moist southerly flow and limited cloud cover during peak heating hours. Scattered showers and thunderstorms may develop but are not expected to significantly suppress afternoon temperatures, consistent with regional climatology for late August. Market-implied odds heavily favor 32°C or higher at 74%, reflecting trader alignment with these stable warm-air advection patterns and minimal downside risk from revised model runs.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Zhengzhou il 23 agosto?
32°C or higher 74%
31°C 26%
30°C 10%
29°C 3%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
10%
31°C
26%
32°C or higher
74%
32°C or higher 74%
31°C 26%
30°C 10%
29°C 3%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
10%
31°C
26%
32°C or higher
74%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration supports a daily maximum near or above 32°C in Zhengzhou on August 23, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure favoring warm, moist southerly flow and limited cloud cover during peak heating hours. Scattered showers and thunderstorms may develop but are not expected to significantly suppress afternoon temperatures, consistent with regional climatology for late August. Market-implied odds heavily favor 32°C or higher at 74%, reflecting trader alignment with these stable warm-air advection patterns and minimal downside risk from revised model runs.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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