The Democratic Party’s commanding national polling lead ahead of South Korea’s June 3 local elections underpins trader consensus around 11–14 mayor and governor victories out of 17 total races, while close contests in Seoul, Busan, and Jeonbuk keep outcomes tightly bunched. With the ruling party holding the presidency and National Assembly, recent surveys show its support stable near 45 percent against the opposition’s 23 percent, though the margin has narrowed slightly in the final weeks. Analysts highlight candidate replacements in several provinces and the influence of national issues on turnout as variables that could shift results in a handful of swing regions. The June 3 vote will resolve the market, and any late polling movement in the largest battlegrounds could widen or narrow the final tally.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHow many South Korean mayor/governor races will DP win?
13 31%
12 24%
11 22.1%
14 16%
≤10
10%
11
22%
12
24%
13
31%
14
16%
15
14%
≥16
1%
13 31%
12 24%
11 22.1%
14 16%
≤10
10%
11
22%
12
24%
13
31%
14
16%
15
14%
≥16
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of Mayor and Governor elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments won by the Democratic Party (DP) during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
If the results of the 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Mercato aperto: May 13, 2026, 6:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of Mayor and Governor elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments won by the Democratic Party (DP) during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
If the results of the 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Democratic Party’s commanding national polling lead ahead of South Korea’s June 3 local elections underpins trader consensus around 11–14 mayor and governor victories out of 17 total races, while close contests in Seoul, Busan, and Jeonbuk keep outcomes tightly bunched. With the ruling party holding the presidency and National Assembly, recent surveys show its support stable near 45 percent against the opposition’s 23 percent, though the margin has narrowed slightly in the final weeks. Analysts highlight candidate replacements in several provinces and the influence of national issues on turnout as variables that could shift results in a handful of swing regions. The June 3 vote will resolve the market, and any late polling movement in the largest battlegrounds could widen or narrow the final tally.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti