Trader consensus heavily favors Adam Hamilton at 86.5% implied probability to win the Kansas Democratic U.S. Senate primary on August 4, driven by his high-profile April 30 entry as founding pastor of Leawood's Church of the Resurrection megachurch and a stunning $1 million fundraising haul in his campaign's first week, dwarfing rivals' first-quarter totals. In a crowded nine-candidate field, state Sen. Patrick Schmidt holds second at 3.5% with prior legislative experience and $177,000 raised by March, while retired executive Sandy Spidel Neumann trails closely at 3.3% on $187,000 receipts. Absent public polls, odds reflect Hamilton's Johnson County name recognition amid the June 1 filing deadline, though late endorsements or internal polling could shift dynamics.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoAdam Hamilton 87%
Patrick Schmidt 3.6%
Sandy Spidel Neumann 3.3%
Sharice Davids 1.4%
$128,331 Vol.
$128,331 Vol.
Adam Hamilton
87%
Patrick Schmidt
4%
Sandy Spidel Neumann
3%
Sharice Davids
1%
Kevin Latz
1%
Erik Murray
1%
Damon Anderson
1%
Christy Davis
<1%
Michael Soetaert
<1%
Anne Parelkar
<1%
Noah Taylor
<1%
Jason Hart
<1%
Adam Hamilton 87%
Patrick Schmidt 3.6%
Sandy Spidel Neumann 3.3%
Sharice Davids 1.4%
$128,331 Vol.
$128,331 Vol.
Adam Hamilton
87%
Patrick Schmidt
4%
Sandy Spidel Neumann
3%
Sharice Davids
1%
Kevin Latz
1%
Erik Murray
1%
Damon Anderson
1%
Christy Davis
<1%
Michael Soetaert
<1%
Anne Parelkar
<1%
Noah Taylor
<1%
Jason Hart
<1%
If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercato aperto: Nov 26, 2025, 5:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Adam Hamilton at 86.5% implied probability to win the Kansas Democratic U.S. Senate primary on August 4, driven by his high-profile April 30 entry as founding pastor of Leawood's Church of the Resurrection megachurch and a stunning $1 million fundraising haul in his campaign's first week, dwarfing rivals' first-quarter totals. In a crowded nine-candidate field, state Sen. Patrick Schmidt holds second at 3.5% with prior legislative experience and $177,000 raised by March, while retired executive Sandy Spidel Neumann trails closely at 3.3% on $187,000 receipts. Absent public polls, odds reflect Hamilton's Johnson County name recognition amid the June 1 filing deadline, though late endorsements or internal polling could shift dynamics.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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