**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature at Buenos Aires' Ezeiza airport (SAEZ) on August 24 centers on 1–3°C, with these outcomes holding nearly equal shares near 30–31% each.** Recent Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and model consensus point to a minimum near 6°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, yet traders assign meaningful probability to colder readings because radiational cooling can intensify quickly when clouds clear overnight and winds remain below 5–10 km/h. Historical analogs from late August show that clear, calm conditions often produce 2–4°C drops below guidance at this station. Differentiating 1°C from 2°C or 3°C hinges on small forecast adjustments in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing through the pre-dawn hours; any additional clearing or further wind reduction could push the minimum toward the lower end of the range, while modest increases in low-level moisture or wind would favor the higher side. The market remains sensitive to the final overnight observations and any late model runs released before dawn.