**Latest model consensus from regional forecasts positions the overnight minimum near 24–25 °C on September 1, aligning with the market’s leading 25 °C outcome (45.5 % implied probability).** Persistent northeasterly flow and 60 % rain chance limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while historical September 1 lows average 25.1 °C and have rarely dipped below 23 °C in recent decades. Elevated probabilities for 30 °C or higher (34.5 %) reflect uncertainty from lingering cloud cover or heavier rainfall that could suppress the diurnal range, whereas lower outcomes like 23 °C or below carry reduced odds given current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures. Updated model runs and official briefings from the Guangdong Meteorological Bureau remain the key near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Guangzhou il 1° settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Guangzhou il 1° settembre?
30°C or higher 62%
27°C 49%
25°C 47%
26°C 40%
NUOVO
NUOVO
1 set 2026
20°C or below
2%
21°C
8%
22°C
9%
23°C
26%
24°C
26%
25°C
47%
26°C
40%
27°C
49%
28°C
25%
29°C
14%
30°C or higher
62%
30°C or higher 62%
27°C 49%
25°C 47%
26°C 40%
NUOVO
NUOVO
1 set 2026
20°C or below
$324 Vol.
2%
21°C
$145 Vol.
8%
22°C
$32 Vol.
9%
23°C
$0 Vol.
26%
24°C
$0 Vol.
26%
25°C
$0 Vol.
47%
26°C
$0 Vol.
40%
27°C
$0 Vol.
49%
28°C
$0 Vol.
25%
29°C
$150 Vol.
14%
30°C or higher
$140 Vol.
62%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest model consensus from regional forecasts positions the overnight minimum near 24–25 °C on September 1, aligning with the market’s leading 25 °C outcome (45.5 % implied probability).** Persistent northeasterly flow and 60 % rain chance limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while historical September 1 lows average 25.1 °C and have rarely dipped below 23 °C in recent decades. Elevated probabilities for 30 °C or higher (34.5 %) reflect uncertainty from lingering cloud cover or heavier rainfall that could suppress the diurnal range, whereas lower outcomes like 23 °C or below carry reduced odds given current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures. Updated model runs and official briefings from the Guangdong Meteorological Bureau remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$791Data di fine
1 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest model consensus from regional forecasts positions the overnight minimum near 24–25 °C on September 1, aligning with the market’s leading 25 °C outcome (45.5 % implied probability).** Persistent northeasterly flow and 60 % rain chance limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while historical September 1 lows average 25.1 °C and have rarely dipped below 23 °C in recent decades. Elevated probabilities for 30 °C or higher (34.5 %) reflect uncertainty from lingering cloud cover or heavier rainfall that could suppress the diurnal range, whereas lower outcomes like 23 °C or below carry reduced odds given current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures. Updated model runs and official briefings from the Guangdong Meteorological Bureau remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$791Data di fine
1 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Latest model consensus from regional forecasts positions the overnight minimum near 24–25 °C on September 1, aligning with the market’s leading 25 °C outcome (45.5 % implied probability).** Persistent northeasterly flow and 60 % rain chance limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while historical September 1 lows average 25.1 °C and have rarely dipped below 23 °C in recent decades. Elevated probabilities for 30 °C or higher (34.5 %) reflect uncertainty from lingering cloud cover or heavier rainfall that could suppress the diurnal range, whereas lower outcomes like 23 °C or below carry reduced odds given current steering patterns and sea-surface temperatures. Updated model runs and official briefings from the Guangdong Meteorological Bureau remain the key near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti