Current forecast consensus from meteorological agencies shows Jinan overnight minimums near 23–25°C on August 26 under persistent late-summer warmth, high humidity, and modest diurnal ranges typical for Shandong in late August. This aligns with climatological baselines where minimums rarely fall below 21°C without strong frontal systems or clear-sky radiative cooling, supporting the market-implied 96% probability for 22°C or higher. Trader positioning reflects these model runs and recent observations showing no significant cooling trend. A rapid shift in steering patterns or unforecast clear skies could allow greater nocturnal heat loss, but such developments remain low-probability given stable atmospheric conditions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Jinan il 26 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Jinan il 26 agosto?
22°C o superiore 96%
21°C 3%
20°C 1.0%
12°C o inferiore <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
26 ago 2026
12°C o inferiore
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C o superiore
96%
22°C o superiore 96%
21°C 3%
20°C 1.0%
12°C o inferiore <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
26 ago 2026
12°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
1%
13°C
$0 Vol.
1%
14°C
$0 Vol.
1%
15°C
$0 Vol.
1%
16°C
$0 Vol.
1%
17°C
$0 Vol.
1%
18°C
$4 Vol.
1%
19°C
$2 Vol.
1%
20°C
$6 Vol.
1%
21°C
$0 Vol.
3%
22°C o superiore
$333 Vol.
96%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from meteorological agencies shows Jinan overnight minimums near 23–25°C on August 26 under persistent late-summer warmth, high humidity, and modest diurnal ranges typical for Shandong in late August. This aligns with climatological baselines where minimums rarely fall below 21°C without strong frontal systems or clear-sky radiative cooling, supporting the market-implied 96% probability for 22°C or higher. Trader positioning reflects these model runs and recent observations showing no significant cooling trend. A rapid shift in steering patterns or unforecast clear skies could allow greater nocturnal heat loss, but such developments remain low-probability given stable atmospheric conditions.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 25, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$345Data di fine
26 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from meteorological agencies shows Jinan overnight minimums near 23–25°C on August 26 under persistent late-summer warmth, high humidity, and modest diurnal ranges typical for Shandong in late August. This aligns with climatological baselines where minimums rarely fall below 21°C without strong frontal systems or clear-sky radiative cooling, supporting the market-implied 96% probability for 22°C or higher. Trader positioning reflects these model runs and recent observations showing no significant cooling trend. A rapid shift in steering patterns or unforecast clear skies could allow greater nocturnal heat loss, but such developments remain low-probability given stable atmospheric conditions.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$345Data di fine
26 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from meteorological agencies shows Jinan overnight minimums near 23–25°C on August 26 under persistent late-summer warmth, high humidity, and modest diurnal ranges typical for Shandong in late August. This aligns with climatological baselines where minimums rarely fall below 21°C without strong frontal systems or clear-sky radiative cooling, supporting the market-implied 96% probability for 22°C or higher. Trader positioning reflects these model runs and recent observations showing no significant cooling trend. A rapid shift in steering patterns or unforecast clear skies could allow greater nocturnal heat loss, but such developments remain low-probability given stable atmospheric conditions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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