Recent forecasts from sources including WeatherBug and WindBorne indicate Jinan’s September 15 minimum near 19–21°C under mostly clear conditions with southwesterly flow, yet market odds remain closely split between 12°C or below and 22°C or higher because small shifts in overnight radiational cooling, boundary-layer moisture, or model consensus on wind speed can easily alter the low by several degrees. Historical September lows average around 17°C, providing context for the uncertainty range, while upcoming CMA updates and refined mesoscale runs will likely resolve whether the current warm bias holds or gives way to greater cooling under lighter winds. Traders weigh these variables against the skin-in-the-game consensus reflected in the nearly even probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Jinan il 15 settembre?
12°C o inferiore 95%
22°C o superiore 82%
16°C 40%
17°C 39%
12°C o inferiore
95%
13°C
18%
14°C
19%
15°C
19%
16°C
40%
17°C
39%
18°C
30%
19°C
21%
20°C
24%
21°C
39%
22°C o superiore
82%
12°C o inferiore 95%
22°C o superiore 82%
16°C 40%
17°C 39%
12°C o inferiore
95%
13°C
18%
14°C
19%
15°C
19%
16°C
40%
17°C
39%
18°C
30%
19°C
21%
20°C
24%
21°C
39%
22°C o superiore
82%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including WeatherBug and WindBorne indicate Jinan’s September 15 minimum near 19–21°C under mostly clear conditions with southwesterly flow, yet market odds remain closely split between 12°C or below and 22°C or higher because small shifts in overnight radiational cooling, boundary-layer moisture, or model consensus on wind speed can easily alter the low by several degrees. Historical September lows average around 17°C, providing context for the uncertainty range, while upcoming CMA updates and refined mesoscale runs will likely resolve whether the current warm bias holds or gives way to greater cooling under lighter winds. Traders weigh these variables against the skin-in-the-game consensus reflected in the nearly even probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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