Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the ECMWF and GFS points to a minimum temperature in Jinan near 20–22°C on September 19, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge maintaining warm southerly flow and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that limit overnight radiative cooling. Light winds under 5 km/h and dew points around 15–18°C further moderate the diurnal range, while the absence of frontal passages or significant moisture reduces variability in the boundary layer. Trader sentiment remains closely divided because small shifts in cloud cover or wind speed could alter the low by 2–3°C, with historical September climatology showing typical overnight minima of 18–23°C under similar synoptic patterns. Updated model runs and official observations expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Jinan il 19 settembre?
12°C o inferiore 90%
17°C 40%
22°C o superiore 40%
16°C 24%
12°C o inferiore
90%
13°C
16%
14°C
12%
15°C
21%
16°C
24%
17°C
26%
18°C
22%
19°C
20%
20°C
20%
21°C
20%
22°C o superiore
40%
12°C o inferiore 90%
17°C 40%
22°C o superiore 40%
16°C 24%
12°C o inferiore
90%
13°C
16%
14°C
12%
15°C
21%
16°C
24%
17°C
26%
18°C
22%
19°C
20%
20°C
20%
21°C
20%
22°C o superiore
40%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the ECMWF and GFS points to a minimum temperature in Jinan near 20–22°C on September 19, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge maintaining warm southerly flow and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that limit overnight radiative cooling. Light winds under 5 km/h and dew points around 15–18°C further moderate the diurnal range, while the absence of frontal passages or significant moisture reduces variability in the boundary layer. Trader sentiment remains closely divided because small shifts in cloud cover or wind speed could alter the low by 2–3°C, with historical September climatology showing typical overnight minima of 18–23°C under similar synoptic patterns. Updated model runs and official observations expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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