Recent forecasts from Malaysian Meteorological Department and international models point to a September 1 minimum near 25°C in Kuala Lumpur, consistent with the market's tight clustering around 25–27°C. Persistent haze from regional biomass burning reduces incoming solar radiation during the day while high humidity and frequent cloud cover limit nighttime radiative cooling, compressing the diurnal range in this equatorial setting. Light winds and scattered showers further moderate overnight lows, keeping values near the long-term September average of 23–25°C. Model differences in exact cloud timing and precipitation intensity create the observed probability spread across 23–27°C bins, with lower outcomes requiring clearer skies than currently projected.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Kuala Lumpur il 1° settembre?
25°C 27%
26°C 27%
27°C 27%
23°C 26%
20°C or below
2%
21°C
9%
22°C
23%
23°C
26%
24°C
26%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
27%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
1%
25°C 27%
26°C 27%
27°C 27%
23°C 26%
20°C or below
2%
21°C
9%
22°C
23%
23°C
26%
24°C
26%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
27%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Malaysian Meteorological Department and international models point to a September 1 minimum near 25°C in Kuala Lumpur, consistent with the market's tight clustering around 25–27°C. Persistent haze from regional biomass burning reduces incoming solar radiation during the day while high humidity and frequent cloud cover limit nighttime radiative cooling, compressing the diurnal range in this equatorial setting. Light winds and scattered showers further moderate overnight lows, keeping values near the long-term September average of 23–25°C. Model differences in exact cloud timing and precipitation intensity create the observed probability spread across 23–27°C bins, with lower outcomes requiring clearer skies than currently projected.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti