Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the UK Met Office and AccuWeather points to overnight lows near 17–18°C in Madrid on August 27, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Seasonal late-summer cooling has begun, with daily average lows declining from mid-August peaks near 18°C amid weakening high pressure and moderating Atlantic influences. Key differentiating factors include clear-sky radiative cooling rates, urban heat retention in central Madrid versus surrounding areas, and wind patterns that could enhance or suppress minimum temperatures by 1–2°C. Short-range ensemble runs show tight clustering but retain modest spread due to timing of any frontal passage, with official updates from AEMET expected to refine the exact threshold before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Madrid il 27 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Madrid il 27 agosto?
23°C or higher 50%
18°C 30%
17°C 28%
21°C 28%
NUOVO
NUOVO
27 ago 2026
13°C or below
8%
14°C
20%
15°C
26%
16°C
25%
17°C
28%
18°C
30%
19°C
25%
20°C
23%
21°C
28%
22°C
8%
23°C or higher
50%
23°C or higher 50%
18°C 30%
17°C 28%
21°C 28%
NUOVO
NUOVO
27 ago 2026
13°C or below
$5 Vol.
8%
14°C
$5 Vol.
20%
15°C
$0 Vol.
26%
16°C
$0 Vol.
25%
17°C
$0 Vol.
28%
18°C
$0 Vol.
30%
19°C
$0 Vol.
25%
20°C
$0 Vol.
23%
21°C
$0 Vol.
28%
22°C
$5 Vol.
8%
23°C or higher
$5 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the UK Met Office and AccuWeather points to overnight lows near 17–18°C in Madrid on August 27, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Seasonal late-summer cooling has begun, with daily average lows declining from mid-August peaks near 18°C amid weakening high pressure and moderating Atlantic influences. Key differentiating factors include clear-sky radiative cooling rates, urban heat retention in central Madrid versus surrounding areas, and wind patterns that could enhance or suppress minimum temperatures by 1–2°C. Short-range ensemble runs show tight clustering but retain modest spread due to timing of any frontal passage, with official updates from AEMET expected to refine the exact threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$20Data di fine
27 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the UK Met Office and AccuWeather points to overnight lows near 17–18°C in Madrid on August 27, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Seasonal late-summer cooling has begun, with daily average lows declining from mid-August peaks near 18°C amid weakening high pressure and moderating Atlantic influences. Key differentiating factors include clear-sky radiative cooling rates, urban heat retention in central Madrid versus surrounding areas, and wind patterns that could enhance or suppress minimum temperatures by 1–2°C. Short-range ensemble runs show tight clustering but retain modest spread due to timing of any frontal passage, with official updates from AEMET expected to refine the exact threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20Data di fine
27 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the UK Met Office and AccuWeather points to overnight lows near 17–18°C in Madrid on August 27, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Seasonal late-summer cooling has begun, with daily average lows declining from mid-August peaks near 18°C amid weakening high pressure and moderating Atlantic influences. Key differentiating factors include clear-sky radiative cooling rates, urban heat retention in central Madrid versus surrounding areas, and wind patterns that could enhance or suppress minimum temperatures by 1–2°C. Short-range ensemble runs show tight clustering but retain modest spread due to timing of any frontal passage, with official updates from AEMET expected to refine the exact threshold before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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