Mexico City's high elevation around 2,240 meters and its position in the rainy season drive variability in overnight lows, with historical August minima averaging near 13°C amid frequent afternoon showers and cloud cover that limit radiative cooling. Recent forecasts from sources like the National Weather Service equivalents and AccuWeather point to a minimum near 12–13°C for August 23 under overcast conditions and late-day precipitation, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 14–15°C versus the substantial probability assigned to 9°C or below. Model consensus on steering patterns and moisture levels remains the key near-term variable, as clearer breaks could enhance cooling while persistent cloudiness or rain would anchor temperatures closer to seasonal norms. Updated observational data and refined model runs over the next 24 hours will likely sharpen resolution on these thresholds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Città del Messico il 23 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Città del Messico il 23 agosto?
9°C o inferiore 76%
10°C 43%
19°C o superiore 43%
15°C 39%
NUOVO
NUOVO
23 ago 2026
9°C o inferiore
76%
10°C
43%
11°C
25%
12°C
25%
13°C
27%
14°C
37%
15°C
39%
16°C
22%
17°C
8%
18°C
8%
19°C o superiore
43%
9°C o inferiore 76%
10°C 43%
19°C o superiore 43%
15°C 39%
NUOVO
NUOVO
23 ago 2026
9°C o inferiore
$15 Vol.
76%
10°C
$15 Vol.
43%
11°C
$0 Vol.
25%
12°C
$0 Vol.
25%
13°C
$0 Vol.
27%
14°C
$0 Vol.
37%
15°C
$0 Vol.
39%
16°C
$0 Vol.
22%
17°C
$15 Vol.
8%
18°C
$15 Vol.
8%
19°C o superiore
$5 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's high elevation around 2,240 meters and its position in the rainy season drive variability in overnight lows, with historical August minima averaging near 13°C amid frequent afternoon showers and cloud cover that limit radiative cooling. Recent forecasts from sources like the National Weather Service equivalents and AccuWeather point to a minimum near 12–13°C for August 23 under overcast conditions and late-day precipitation, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 14–15°C versus the substantial probability assigned to 9°C or below. Model consensus on steering patterns and moisture levels remains the key near-term variable, as clearer breaks could enhance cooling while persistent cloudiness or rain would anchor temperatures closer to seasonal norms. Updated observational data and refined model runs over the next 24 hours will likely sharpen resolution on these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$65Data di fine
23 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's high elevation around 2,240 meters and its position in the rainy season drive variability in overnight lows, with historical August minima averaging near 13°C amid frequent afternoon showers and cloud cover that limit radiative cooling. Recent forecasts from sources like the National Weather Service equivalents and AccuWeather point to a minimum near 12–13°C for August 23 under overcast conditions and late-day precipitation, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 14–15°C versus the substantial probability assigned to 9°C or below. Model consensus on steering patterns and moisture levels remains the key near-term variable, as clearer breaks could enhance cooling while persistent cloudiness or rain would anchor temperatures closer to seasonal norms. Updated observational data and refined model runs over the next 24 hours will likely sharpen resolution on these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$65Data di fine
23 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mexico City's high elevation around 2,240 meters and its position in the rainy season drive variability in overnight lows, with historical August minima averaging near 13°C amid frequent afternoon showers and cloud cover that limit radiative cooling. Recent forecasts from sources like the National Weather Service equivalents and AccuWeather point to a minimum near 12–13°C for August 23 under overcast conditions and late-day precipitation, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 14–15°C versus the substantial probability assigned to 9°C or below. Model consensus on steering patterns and moisture levels remains the key near-term variable, as clearer breaks could enhance cooling while persistent cloudiness or rain would anchor temperatures closer to seasonal norms. Updated observational data and refined model runs over the next 24 hours will likely sharpen resolution on these thresholds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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