Forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with DWD and ECMWF guidance, point to a minimum temperature near 17°C in Munich on August 30 under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow. This stems from mild air advection and reduced radiative cooling compared to clearer nights, keeping the low well above the long-term average of 12.6°C. Market-implied odds favor cooler thresholds (12–15°C) due to uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat effects, and potential model divergence on cloud cover or wind. New hourly observations and updated runs overnight will clarify whether the consensus holds or shifts toward greater cooling.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Monaco di Baviera il 30 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Monaco di Baviera il 30 agosto?
15°C 33%
12°C or below 32%
14°C 32%
16°C 26%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 ago 2026
12°C or below
32%
13°C
28%
14°C
32%
15°C
33%
16°C
26%
17°C
22%
18°C
14%
19°C
2%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
1%
15°C 33%
12°C or below 32%
14°C 32%
16°C 26%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 ago 2026
12°C or below
$0 Vol.
32%
13°C
$10 Vol.
28%
14°C
$0 Vol.
32%
15°C
$0 Vol.
33%
16°C
$0 Vol.
26%
17°C
$17 Vol.
22%
18°C
$5 Vol.
14%
19°C
$5 Vol.
2%
20°C
$5 Vol.
1%
21°C
$5 Vol.
1%
22°C or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with DWD and ECMWF guidance, point to a minimum temperature near 17°C in Munich on August 30 under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow. This stems from mild air advection and reduced radiative cooling compared to clearer nights, keeping the low well above the long-term average of 12.6°C. Market-implied odds favor cooler thresholds (12–15°C) due to uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat effects, and potential model divergence on cloud cover or wind. New hourly observations and updated runs overnight will clarify whether the consensus holds or shifts toward greater cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$52Data di fine
30 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with DWD and ECMWF guidance, point to a minimum temperature near 17°C in Munich on August 30 under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow. This stems from mild air advection and reduced radiative cooling compared to clearer nights, keeping the low well above the long-term average of 12.6°C. Market-implied odds favor cooler thresholds (12–15°C) due to uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat effects, and potential model divergence on cloud cover or wind. New hourly observations and updated runs overnight will clarify whether the consensus holds or shifts toward greater cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$52Data di fine
30 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with DWD and ECMWF guidance, point to a minimum temperature near 17°C in Munich on August 30 under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow. This stems from mild air advection and reduced radiative cooling compared to clearer nights, keeping the low well above the long-term average of 12.6°C. Market-implied odds favor cooler thresholds (12–15°C) due to uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat effects, and potential model divergence on cloud cover or wind. New hourly observations and updated runs overnight will clarify whether the consensus holds or shifts toward greater cooling.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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