Forecast consensus from global models points to clear skies and light variable winds overnight in Munich, supporting radiative cooling under high pressure that favors a minimum near 11–13 °C. This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities clustered at 9 °C and 10 °C, while the notable 25 % on 4 °C or below reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer cooling rates and any late-model shifts in cloud cover or wind. Historical September averages near 10 °C provide context, yet current dry, stable conditions and limited model spread reduce the likelihood of extreme outliers ahead of tomorrow’s official observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Monaco il 15 settembre?
4°C o inferiore 47%
14°C o superiore 47%
13°C 38%
9°C 30%
4°C o inferiore
47%
5°C
8%
6°C
9%
7°C
21%
8°C
25%
9°C
30%
10°C
27%
11°C
21%
12°C
21%
13°C
38%
14°C o superiore
47%
4°C o inferiore 47%
14°C o superiore 47%
13°C 38%
9°C 30%
4°C o inferiore
47%
5°C
8%
6°C
9%
7°C
21%
8°C
25%
9°C
30%
10°C
27%
11°C
21%
12°C
21%
13°C
38%
14°C o superiore
47%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from global models points to clear skies and light variable winds overnight in Munich, supporting radiative cooling under high pressure that favors a minimum near 11–13 °C. This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities clustered at 9 °C and 10 °C, while the notable 25 % on 4 °C or below reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer cooling rates and any late-model shifts in cloud cover or wind. Historical September averages near 10 °C provide context, yet current dry, stable conditions and limited model spread reduce the likelihood of extreme outliers ahead of tomorrow’s official observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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