Current National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus project a San Francisco overnight low near 58°F on August 23 amid a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore westerly flow. This typical late-summer pattern, reinforced by coastal upwelling and stratus clouds, suppresses radiative cooling and keeps minima clustered around historical August averages of 57°F. Trader odds remain split across bins because small shifts in fog timing, wind speed, or boundary-layer mixing could nudge readings a few degrees either side of the 56–59°F range, while extremes below 50°F or above 68°F would require rare deviations from established climatology. Updated model runs tonight and early-morning observations will refine the final resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di San Francisco il 23 agosto?
68°F o superiore 78%
49°F o inferiore 68%
66-67°F 47%
50-51°F 44%
49°F o inferiore
68%
50-51°F
44%
52-53°F
24%
54-55°F
24%
56-57°F
33%
58-59°F
35%
60-61°F
27%
62-63°F
26%
64-65°F
24%
66-67°F
47%
68°F o superiore
78%
68°F o superiore 78%
49°F o inferiore 68%
66-67°F 47%
50-51°F 44%
49°F o inferiore
68%
50-51°F
44%
52-53°F
24%
54-55°F
24%
56-57°F
33%
58-59°F
35%
60-61°F
27%
62-63°F
26%
64-65°F
24%
66-67°F
47%
68°F o superiore
78%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus project a San Francisco overnight low near 58°F on August 23 amid a persistent marine layer and moderate onshore westerly flow. This typical late-summer pattern, reinforced by coastal upwelling and stratus clouds, suppresses radiative cooling and keeps minima clustered around historical August averages of 57°F. Trader odds remain split across bins because small shifts in fog timing, wind speed, or boundary-layer mixing could nudge readings a few degrees either side of the 56–59°F range, while extremes below 50°F or above 68°F would require rare deviations from established climatology. Updated model runs tonight and early-morning observations will refine the final resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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