**Current official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) for Incheon on August 25 point to a daily minimum of 24–26°C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and 20% precipitation chance, supporting the market’s tight clustering around 25–26°C.** Late August climatology in the region features gradually declining overnight lows amid high humidity that limits radiative cooling, with recent analogs (including the prior day’s 25°C minimum) and minor model spreads between KMA guidance and other sources driving the 48% implied probability on 26°C and 27.5% on 25°C. Traders appear to price in modest uncertainty from potential clearer intervals or localized effects at the Incheon station, while lower outcomes remain discounted given the warm baseline and lack of strong cooling mechanisms in the current pattern. Updated model runs and evening observations ahead of resolution will be the key near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Seoul (Incheon) il 25 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Seoul (Incheon) il 25 agosto?
26°C 48%
25°C 28%
27°C 18%
24°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
25 ago 2026
21°C o inferiore
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
28%
26°C
48%
27°C
18%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C o superiore
<1%
26°C 48%
25°C 28%
27°C 18%
24°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
25 ago 2026
21°C o inferiore
$213 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$103 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$179 Vol.
2%
24°C
$148 Vol.
5%
25°C
$677 Vol.
28%
26°C
$559 Vol.
48%
27°C
$1,042 Vol.
18%
28°C
$187 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$133 Vol.
1%
30°C
$123 Vol.
<1%
31°C o superiore
$198 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) for Incheon on August 25 point to a daily minimum of 24–26°C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and 20% precipitation chance, supporting the market’s tight clustering around 25–26°C.**
Late August climatology in the region features gradually declining overnight lows amid high humidity that limits radiative cooling, with recent analogs (including the prior day’s 25°C minimum) and minor model spreads between KMA guidance and other sources driving the 48% implied probability on 26°C and 27.5% on 25°C. Traders appear to price in modest uncertainty from potential clearer intervals or localized effects at the Incheon station, while lower outcomes remain discounted given the warm baseline and lack of strong cooling mechanisms in the current pattern. Updated model runs and evening observations ahead of resolution will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$3,563Data di fine
25 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) for Incheon on August 25 point to a daily minimum of 24–26°C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and 20% precipitation chance, supporting the market’s tight clustering around 25–26°C.**
Late August climatology in the region features gradually declining overnight lows amid high humidity that limits radiative cooling, with recent analogs (including the prior day’s 25°C minimum) and minor model spreads between KMA guidance and other sources driving the 48% implied probability on 26°C and 27.5% on 25°C. Traders appear to price in modest uncertainty from potential clearer intervals or localized effects at the Incheon station, while lower outcomes remain discounted given the warm baseline and lack of strong cooling mechanisms in the current pattern. Updated model runs and evening observations ahead of resolution will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,563Data di fine
25 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) for Incheon on August 25 point to a daily minimum of 24–26°C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and 20% precipitation chance, supporting the market’s tight clustering around 25–26°C.** Late August climatology in the region features gradually declining overnight lows amid high humidity that limits radiative cooling, with recent analogs (including the prior day’s 25°C minimum) and minor model spreads between KMA guidance and other sources driving the 48% implied probability on 26°C and 27.5% on 25°C. Traders appear to price in modest uncertainty from potential clearer intervals or localized effects at the Incheon station, while lower outcomes remain discounted given the warm baseline and lack of strong cooling mechanisms in the current pattern. Updated model runs and evening observations ahead of resolution will be the key near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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