**Forecast models and official guidance from Chinese meteorological sources indicate a minimum temperature near 23°C for Shanghai on September 22, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light northeast to east winds.** Multiple 7–10 day outlooks released around September 20 consistently project overnight lows of 22–24°C (roughly 72–75°F), aligning with the market’s leading 23°C outcome at 39% implied probability. Partly cloudy conditions and modest humidity levels support gradual radiative cooling overnight without strong cold-air advection or precipitation, keeping the floor near this range. Nearby probabilities for 21°C and 24°C reflect typical forecast uncertainty and model spread in the final 48 hours, while lower odds for 20°C or below highlight the limited likelihood of sharper cooling given current steering patterns and seasonal norms for late September. Updated model runs and Shanghai Meteorological Bureau briefings in the coming day will provide the clearest signals for any last-minute shifts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 22 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 22 settembre?
24°C 45%
23°C 40%
22°C 38%
18°C o inferiore 35%
NUOVO
NUOVO
22 set 2026
18°C o inferiore
35%
19°C
20%
20°C
20%
21°C
35%
22°C
38%
23°C
40%
24°C
29%
25°C
26%
26°C
26%
27°C
28%
28°C o superiore
19%
24°C 45%
23°C 40%
22°C 38%
18°C o inferiore 35%
NUOVO
NUOVO
22 set 2026
18°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
35%
19°C
$0 Vol.
20%
20°C
$0 Vol.
20%
21°C
$0 Vol.
35%
22°C
$0 Vol.
38%
23°C
$20 Vol.
40%
24°C
$40 Vol.
29%
25°C
$0 Vol.
26%
26°C
$0 Vol.
26%
27°C
$0 Vol.
28%
28°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official guidance from Chinese meteorological sources indicate a minimum temperature near 23°C for Shanghai on September 22, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light northeast to east winds.** Multiple 7–10 day outlooks released around September 20 consistently project overnight lows of 22–24°C (roughly 72–75°F), aligning with the market’s leading 23°C outcome at 39% implied probability.
Partly cloudy conditions and modest humidity levels support gradual radiative cooling overnight without strong cold-air advection or precipitation, keeping the floor near this range. Nearby probabilities for 21°C and 24°C reflect typical forecast uncertainty and model spread in the final 48 hours, while lower odds for 20°C or below highlight the limited likelihood of sharper cooling given current steering patterns and seasonal norms for late September. Updated model runs and Shanghai Meteorological Bureau briefings in the coming day will provide the clearest signals for any last-minute shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$60Data di fine
22 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official guidance from Chinese meteorological sources indicate a minimum temperature near 23°C for Shanghai on September 22, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light northeast to east winds.** Multiple 7–10 day outlooks released around September 20 consistently project overnight lows of 22–24°C (roughly 72–75°F), aligning with the market’s leading 23°C outcome at 39% implied probability.
Partly cloudy conditions and modest humidity levels support gradual radiative cooling overnight without strong cold-air advection or precipitation, keeping the floor near this range. Nearby probabilities for 21°C and 24°C reflect typical forecast uncertainty and model spread in the final 48 hours, while lower odds for 20°C or below highlight the limited likelihood of sharper cooling given current steering patterns and seasonal norms for late September. Updated model runs and Shanghai Meteorological Bureau briefings in the coming day will provide the clearest signals for any last-minute shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$60Data di fine
22 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and official guidance from Chinese meteorological sources indicate a minimum temperature near 23°C for Shanghai on September 22, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light northeast to east winds.** Multiple 7–10 day outlooks released around September 20 consistently project overnight lows of 22–24°C (roughly 72–75°F), aligning with the market’s leading 23°C outcome at 39% implied probability. Partly cloudy conditions and modest humidity levels support gradual radiative cooling overnight without strong cold-air advection or precipitation, keeping the floor near this range. Nearby probabilities for 21°C and 24°C reflect typical forecast uncertainty and model spread in the final 48 hours, while lower odds for 20°C or below highlight the limited likelihood of sharper cooling given current steering patterns and seasonal norms for late September. Updated model runs and Shanghai Meteorological Bureau briefings in the coming day will provide the clearest signals for any last-minute shifts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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