Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 23°C for Tel Aviv on September 21, driven by typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions with light northwest winds, partly cloudy skies, and sea surface temperatures supporting modest overnight radiative cooling. Trader sentiment remains split, with the 18°C-or-below outcome leading at 39% implied probability despite model consensus around 23°C (28.5%), reflecting uncertainty in exact dew point depression and boundary-layer mixing under variable cloud cover. Historical September minima average near 22–24°C, and upcoming National Meteorological Service updates or refined GFS/ECMWF runs could shift odds by clarifying whether light winds allow further cooling below 22°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Tel Aviv il 21 settembre?
28°C o superiore 94%
18°C o inferiore 78%
24°C 78%
19°C 49%
18°C o inferiore
78%
19°C
49%
20°C
40%
21°C
40%
22°C
41%
23°C
29%
24°C
78%
25°C
19%
26°C
17%
27°C
3%
28°C o superiore
94%
28°C o superiore 94%
18°C o inferiore 78%
24°C 78%
19°C 49%
18°C o inferiore
78%
19°C
49%
20°C
40%
21°C
40%
22°C
41%
23°C
29%
24°C
78%
25°C
19%
26°C
17%
27°C
3%
28°C o superiore
94%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 23°C for Tel Aviv on September 21, driven by typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions with light northwest winds, partly cloudy skies, and sea surface temperatures supporting modest overnight radiative cooling. Trader sentiment remains split, with the 18°C-or-below outcome leading at 39% implied probability despite model consensus around 23°C (28.5%), reflecting uncertainty in exact dew point depression and boundary-layer mixing under variable cloud cover. Historical September minima average near 22–24°C, and upcoming National Meteorological Service updates or refined GFS/ECMWF runs could shift odds by clarifying whether light winds allow further cooling below 22°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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