Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional ensembles indicate a likely minimum temperature in Warsaw on September 16 of 11–15°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds, reflecting moderate nocturnal radiative cooling after daytime highs near 23–26°C. Trader sentiment remains split near 50% between 6°C or below and 16°C or higher because small shifts in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or an incoming Atlantic front could alter surface heat retention by several degrees. Clear, calm conditions would enhance longwave radiation loss and favor the lower tail, while increased moisture or wind would limit cooling toward the higher range. Updated high-resolution runs over the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether September's typical 10°C baseline holds or deviates.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Varsavia il 16 settembre?
6°C o inferiore 100%
16°C o superiore 98%
8°C 40%
9°C 40%
6°C o inferiore
100%
7°C
39%
8°C
40%
9°C
40%
10°C
40%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C o superiore
98%
6°C o inferiore 100%
16°C o superiore 98%
8°C 40%
9°C 40%
6°C o inferiore
100%
7°C
39%
8°C
40%
9°C
40%
10°C
40%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C o superiore
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional ensembles indicate a likely minimum temperature in Warsaw on September 16 of 11–15°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds, reflecting moderate nocturnal radiative cooling after daytime highs near 23–26°C. Trader sentiment remains split near 50% between 6°C or below and 16°C or higher because small shifts in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or an incoming Atlantic front could alter surface heat retention by several degrees. Clear, calm conditions would enhance longwave radiation loss and favor the lower tail, while increased moisture or wind would limit cooling toward the higher range. Updated high-resolution runs over the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether September's typical 10°C baseline holds or deviates.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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