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Mondo·Elezioni Globali

Vincitore delle elezioni parlamentari del Meclemburgo-Pomerania Anteriore

icon for Vincitore delle elezioni parlamentari del Meclemburgo-Pomerania Anteriore
Mondo·Elezioni Globali

Vincitore delle elezioni parlamentari del Meclemburgo-Pomerania Anteriore

AfD 85%

SPD 15%

Linke <1%

FW <1%

Polymarket

$447,885 Vol.

AfD 85%

SPD 15%

Linke <1%

FW <1%

Polymarket

$447,885 Vol.

icon for AfD

AfD

$75,817 Vol.

85%

icon for SPD

SPD

$92,387 Vol.

15%

icon for Linke

Linke

$27,668 Vol.

<1%

icon for FW

FW

$36,709 Vol.

<1%

icon for CDU

CDU

$44,445 Vol.

<1%

icon for Grüne

Grüne

$71,444 Vol.

<1%

icon for FDP

FDP

$77,089 Vol.

<1%

icon for BSW

BSW

$22,326 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).AfD maintains a consistent lead in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election polling ahead of the September 20, 2026, vote, placing it as the clear frontrunner for the largest share of Landtag seats. Recent surveys from Infratest dimap and INSA show the party at 35-36 percent, ahead of the incumbent SPD at 28-29 percent, with Linke, CDU, and smaller parties further behind. This positioning reflects sustained regional support for AfD in eastern Germany and difficulties for the SPD-Left government under Manuela Schwesig in reversing its decline. Other parties' reluctance to enter coalitions with AfD adds uncertainty to government formation but reinforces the party's edge in securing the plurality. Trader consensus aligns with these trends, pricing AfD far ahead while minor parties remain marginal.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.

If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Volume
$447,885
Data di fine
20 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).AfD maintains a consistent lead in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election polling ahead of the September 20, 2026, vote, placing it as the clear frontrunner for the largest share of Landtag seats. Recent surveys from Infratest dimap and INSA show the party at 35-36 percent, ahead of the incumbent SPD at 28-29 percent, with Linke, CDU, and smaller parties further behind. This positioning reflects sustained regional support for AfD in eastern Germany and difficulties for the SPD-Left government under Manuela Schwesig in reversing its decline. Other parties' reluctance to enter coalitions with AfD adds uncertainty to government formation but reinforces the party's edge in securing the plurality. Trader consensus aligns with these trends, pricing AfD far ahead while minor parties remain marginal.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.

If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Volume
$447,885
Data di fine
20 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).

Correlati

icon for La Linke otterrà il terzo maggior numero di seggi alle elezioni parlamentari del Meclemburgo-Pomerania Anteriore del 2026?

La Linke otterrà il terzo maggior numero di seggi alle elezioni parlamentari del Meclemburgo-Pomerania Anteriore del 2026?

76%
Sì
icon for L'SPD vincerà il secondo maggior numero di seggi nelle elezioni parlamentari del Meclemburgo-Pomerania Anteriore del 2026?

L'SPD vincerà il secondo maggior numero di seggi nelle elezioni parlamentari del Meclemburgo-Pomerania Anteriore del 2026?

86%
Sì
icon for Will SPD win 22-25 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?

Will SPD win 22-25 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?

54%

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Vincitore delle elezioni parlamentari del Meclemburgo-Pomerania Anteriore" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 8 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "AfD" a 85%, seguito da "SPD" a 15%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 85¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 85% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Vincitore delle elezioni parlamentari del Meclemburgo-Pomerania Anteriore" ha generato $447.9K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Feb 11, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle elezioni parlamentari del Meclemburgo-Pomerania Anteriore", esplora i 8 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle elezioni parlamentari del Meclemburgo-Pomerania Anteriore" è "AfD" a 85%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 85% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "SPD" a 15%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle elezioni parlamentari del Meclemburgo-Pomerania Anteriore" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.