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Politica·Romania

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

icon for Next Prime Minister of Romania?
Politica·Romania

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Delia Velculescu 38.4%

Șerban Matei 17.6%

Sorin Grindeanu 9%

Radu Burnete 9%

Polymarket

$620,694 Vol.

Delia Velculescu 38.4%

Șerban Matei 17.6%

Sorin Grindeanu 9%

Radu Burnete 9%

Polymarket

$620,694 Vol.

icon for Delia Velculescu

Delia Velculescu

$21,347 Vol.

38%

icon for Șerban Matei

Șerban Matei

$20,320 Vol.

18%

icon for Sorin Grindeanu

Sorin Grindeanu

$71,118 Vol.

9%

icon for Radu Burnete

Radu Burnete

$19,716 Vol.

9%

icon for Cătălin Predoiu

Cătălin Predoiu

$68,255 Vol.

4%

icon for Anca Dragu

Anca Dragu

$19,506 Vol.

3%

icon for Dragoș Pîslaru

Dragoș Pîslaru

$12,914 Vol.

2%

icon for Lucian Croitoru

Lucian Croitoru

$14,855 Vol.

2%

icon for Alexandru Nazare

Alexandru Nazare

$5,054 Vol.

2%

icon for Ilie Bolojan

Ilie Bolojan

$71,057 Vol.

2%

icon for Alexandru Rogobete

Alexandru Rogobete

$10,751 Vol.

1%

icon for Ionuț Dumitru

Ionuț Dumitru

$29,436 Vol.

1%

icon for George Simion

George Simion

$12,183 Vol.

1%

icon for Dan Motreanu

Dan Motreanu

$11,766 Vol.

1%

icon for Calin Georgescu

Calin Georgescu

$11,402 Vol.

1%

icon for Ciprian Ciucu

Ciprian Ciucu

$969 Vol.

1%

icon for Elena Lasconi

Elena Lasconi

$40,009 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mugur Isărescu

Mugur Isărescu

$11,081 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mircea Geoană

Mircea Geoană

$16,895 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lucian Isar

Lucian Isar

$12,256 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marcel Ciolacu

Marcel Ciolacu

$12,058 Vol.

<1%

icon for Alexandru Rafila

Alexandru Rafila

$12,536 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sebastian Burduja

Sebastian Burduja

$12,629 Vol.

<1%

icon for Cătălin Drulă

Cătălin Drulă

$13,867 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vasile Dîncu

Vasile Dîncu

$12,742 Vol.

<1%

icon for Dacian Cioloș

Dacian Cioloș

$16,996 Vol.

<1%

icon for Emil Boc

Emil Boc

$13,158 Vol.

<1%

icon for Dominic Fritz

Dominic Fritz

$12,397 Vol.

<1%

icon for Raluca Turcan

Raluca Turcan

$9,511 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nicolae Ciucă

Nicolae Ciucă

$14,416 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hunor Kelemen

Hunor Kelemen

$8,829 Vol.

<1%

icon for Traian Băsescu

Traian Băsescu

$864 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romania's recent government collapse after a no-confidence vote against Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan has shifted focus to President Nicușor Dan's ongoing party consultations aimed at forming a stable parliamentary majority. Traders assign the highest probability to Delia Velculescu, reflecting her extensive IMF experience and perceived suitability for a technocratic role that could advance fiscal reforms and safeguard EU funding access amid economic pressures. Other candidates, including Șerban Matei and Sorin Grindeanu, trail as parties weigh coalition options without the previous four-party arrangement. Developments such as the president's emphasis on avoiding weak coalitions and scheduled talks with groups including the Social Democrats and Alliance for the Union of Romanians continue to shape positioning, with any resulting agreements likely to determine the next confirmed nominee.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$620,694
Data di fine
31 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
May 5, 2026, 1:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romania's recent government collapse after a no-confidence vote against Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan has shifted focus to President Nicușor Dan's ongoing party consultations aimed at forming a stable parliamentary majority. Traders assign the highest probability to Delia Velculescu, reflecting her extensive IMF experience and perceived suitability for a technocratic role that could advance fiscal reforms and safeguard EU funding access amid economic pressures. Other candidates, including Șerban Matei and Sorin Grindeanu, trail as parties weigh coalition options without the previous four-party arrangement. Developments such as the president's emphasis on avoiding weak coalitions and scheduled talks with groups including the Social Democrats and Alliance for the Union of Romanians continue to shape positioning, with any resulting agreements likely to determine the next confirmed nominee.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$620,694
Data di fine
31 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
May 5, 2026, 1:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"Next Prime Minister of Romania?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 32 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Delia Velculescu" a 38%, seguito da "Șerban Matei" a 18%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 38¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 38% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Next Prime Minister of Romania?" ha generato $620.7K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il May 5, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Next Prime Minister of Romania?", esplora i 32 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Next Prime Minister of Romania?" è "Delia Velculescu" a 38%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 38% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Șerban Matei" a 18%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Next Prime Minister of Romania?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.