Hakeem Jeffries's incumbency anchors trader expectations for a Democratic hold in New York's 8th congressional district, a seat rated solid Democratic with a D+24 Cook Partisan Voting Index. Jeffries secured 75 percent in 2024 against a weak Republican opponent, reflecting the district's heavy Democratic registration advantage and urban Brooklyn core. No high-profile GOP candidate has emerged ahead of the June 23 primary or November general election, leaving the Republican nominee likely to trail significantly. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected Democratic primary challenge, recruitment of a stronger Republican contender, a personal scandal involving Jeffries, or an unusually strong national Republican midterm wave that alters turnout patterns.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNY-08 Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera
NY-08 Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera
$21,214 Vol.
$21,214 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
92%
Partito Repubblicano
8%
$21,214 Vol.
$21,214 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Democratico
$11,494 Vol.
92%
Partito Repubblicano
$9,719 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hakeem Jeffries's incumbency anchors trader expectations for a Democratic hold in New York's 8th congressional district, a seat rated solid Democratic with a D+24 Cook Partisan Voting Index. Jeffries secured 75 percent in 2024 against a weak Republican opponent, reflecting the district's heavy Democratic registration advantage and urban Brooklyn core. No high-profile GOP candidate has emerged ahead of the June 23 primary or November general election, leaving the Republican nominee likely to trail significantly. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected Democratic primary challenge, recruitment of a stronger Republican contender, a personal scandal involving Jeffries, or an unusually strong national Republican midterm wave that alters turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$21,214Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hakeem Jeffries's incumbency anchors trader expectations for a Democratic hold in New York's 8th congressional district, a seat rated solid Democratic with a D+24 Cook Partisan Voting Index. Jeffries secured 75 percent in 2024 against a weak Republican opponent, reflecting the district's heavy Democratic registration advantage and urban Brooklyn core. No high-profile GOP candidate has emerged ahead of the June 23 primary or November general election, leaving the Republican nominee likely to trail significantly. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected Democratic primary challenge, recruitment of a stronger Republican contender, a personal scandal involving Jeffries, or an unusually strong national Republican midterm wave that alters turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$21,214Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Hakeem Jeffries's incumbency anchors trader expectations for a Democratic hold in New York's 8th congressional district, a seat rated solid Democratic with a D+24 Cook Partisan Voting Index. Jeffries secured 75 percent in 2024 against a weak Republican opponent, reflecting the district's heavy Democratic registration advantage and urban Brooklyn core. No high-profile GOP candidate has emerged ahead of the June 23 primary or November general election, leaving the Republican nominee likely to trail significantly. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected Democratic primary challenge, recruitment of a stronger Republican contender, a personal scandal involving Jeffries, or an unusually strong national Republican midterm wave that alters turnout patterns.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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