Recent polls show the Parti Québécois and Quebec Liberal Party in a tight popular-vote contest near 32 percent each, with the Coalition Avenir Québec recovering modestly to around 16 percent under new leader Christine Fréchette following François Legault’s resignation. Despite the close race, seat-projection models favor the PQ because its support concentrates efficiently among francophone voters outside Montreal, producing a projected plurality of seats in the National Assembly. The election, fixed for October 5, 2026, remains months away, leaving room for shifts in voter turnout or late campaign developments to alter the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni generali del Quebec
Vincitore delle elezioni generali del Quebec
PQ 59%
PLQ 29%
CAQ 10%
PCQ <1%
$505,072 Vol.
$505,072 Vol.
5 ott 2026
PQ
59%
PLQ
29%
CAQ
10%
PCQ
1%
PVQ
<1%
QS
<1%
PQ 59%
PLQ 29%
CAQ 10%
PCQ <1%
$505,072 Vol.
$505,072 Vol.
5 ott 2026
PQ
$52,328 Vol.
59%
PLQ
$56,150 Vol.
29%
CAQ
$59,477 Vol.
10%
PCQ
$164,004 Vol.
1%
PVQ
$114,822 Vol.
<1%
QS
$58,291 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polls show the Parti Québécois and Quebec Liberal Party in a tight popular-vote contest near 32 percent each, with the Coalition Avenir Québec recovering modestly to around 16 percent under new leader Christine Fréchette following François Legault’s resignation. Despite the close race, seat-projection models favor the PQ because its support concentrates efficiently among francophone voters outside Montreal, producing a projected plurality of seats in the National Assembly. The election, fixed for October 5, 2026, remains months away, leaving room for shifts in voter turnout or late campaign developments to alter the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Mercato aperto: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Volume
$505,072Data di fine
5 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polls show the Parti Québécois and Quebec Liberal Party in a tight popular-vote contest near 32 percent each, with the Coalition Avenir Québec recovering modestly to around 16 percent under new leader Christine Fréchette following François Legault’s resignation. Despite the close race, seat-projection models favor the PQ because its support concentrates efficiently among francophone voters outside Montreal, producing a projected plurality of seats in the National Assembly. The election, fixed for October 5, 2026, remains months away, leaving room for shifts in voter turnout or late campaign developments to alter the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volume
$505,072Data di fine
5 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls show the Parti Québécois and Quebec Liberal Party in a tight popular-vote contest near 32 percent each, with the Coalition Avenir Québec recovering modestly to around 16 percent under new leader Christine Fréchette following François Legault’s resignation. Despite the close race, seat-projection models favor the PQ because its support concentrates efficiently among francophone voters outside Montreal, producing a projected plurality of seats in the National Assembly. The election, fixed for October 5, 2026, remains months away, leaving room for shifts in voter turnout or late campaign developments to alter the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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