The by-election for Italy’s Calabria 05 constituency, triggered by Francesco Cannizzaro’s resignation after his mayoral win, features a closely contested race shaped by coalition dynamics ahead of the 27-28 September vote. Frank Benedetto leads trader pricing at 57% as the unified center-left candidate backed by PD, M5S and allied lists, while center-right support splits between Forza Italia’s Fabio Roscioli at 38.5% and Futuro Nazionale’s Domenico Giannetta at 25%, with Francesco Toscano at 16%. The fragmentation on the right, including Giannetta’s shift from Forza Italia, has narrowed the historical center-right advantage in the district and kept implied probabilities tight. Upcoming campaign events and turnout patterns among local voters could still shift positioning before ballots close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoFrank Benedetto 57%
Fabio Roscioli 38%
Domenico Giannetta 25%
Francesco Toscano 16%
NUOVO
NUOVO
28 set 2026
Frank Benedetto
57%
Fabio Roscioli
38%
Domenico Giannetta
25%
Francesco Toscano
16%
Frank Benedetto 57%
Fabio Roscioli 38%
Domenico Giannetta 25%
Francesco Toscano 16%
NUOVO
NUOVO
28 set 2026
Frank Benedetto
$0 Vol.
57%
Fabio Roscioli
$0 Vol.
38%
Domenico Giannetta
$0 Vol.
25%
Francesco Toscano
$21 Vol.
16%
A by-election in the single-member constituency of 05 - Reggio di Calabria, in the XXIII Calabria constituency, is scheduled to take place on September 27-28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Reggio di Calabria by-election to the Chamber of Deputies of Italy.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Italian Ministry of the Interior (https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/).The by-election for Italy’s Calabria 05 constituency, triggered by Francesco Cannizzaro’s resignation after his mayoral win, features a closely contested race shaped by coalition dynamics ahead of the 27-28 September vote. Frank Benedetto leads trader pricing at 57% as the unified center-left candidate backed by PD, M5S and allied lists, while center-right support splits between Forza Italia’s Fabio Roscioli at 38.5% and Futuro Nazionale’s Domenico Giannetta at 25%, with Francesco Toscano at 16%. The fragmentation on the right, including Giannetta’s shift from Forza Italia, has narrowed the historical center-right advantage in the district and kept implied probabilities tight. Upcoming campaign events and turnout patterns among local voters could still shift positioning before ballots close.
A by-election in the single-member constituency of 05 - Reggio di Calabria, in the XXIII Calabria constituency, is scheduled to take place on September 27-28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Reggio di Calabria by-election to the Chamber of Deputies of Italy.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Italian Ministry of the Interior (https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Reggio di Calabria by-election to the Chamber of Deputies of Italy.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Italian Ministry of the Interior (https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/).
Mercato aperto: Sep 3, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Volume
$21Data di fine
28 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 3, 2026, 5:37 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...A by-election in the single-member constituency of 05 - Reggio di Calabria, in the XXIII Calabria constituency, is scheduled to take place on September 27-28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Reggio di Calabria by-election to the Chamber of Deputies of Italy.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Italian Ministry of the Interior (https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/).The by-election for Italy’s Calabria 05 constituency, triggered by Francesco Cannizzaro’s resignation after his mayoral win, features a closely contested race shaped by coalition dynamics ahead of the 27-28 September vote. Frank Benedetto leads trader pricing at 57% as the unified center-left candidate backed by PD, M5S and allied lists, while center-right support splits between Forza Italia’s Fabio Roscioli at 38.5% and Futuro Nazionale’s Domenico Giannetta at 25%, with Francesco Toscano at 16%. The fragmentation on the right, including Giannetta’s shift from Forza Italia, has narrowed the historical center-right advantage in the district and kept implied probabilities tight. Upcoming campaign events and turnout patterns among local voters could still shift positioning before ballots close.
A by-election in the single-member constituency of 05 - Reggio di Calabria, in the XXIII Calabria constituency, is scheduled to take place on September 27-28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Reggio di Calabria by-election to the Chamber of Deputies of Italy.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Italian Ministry of the Interior (https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Reggio di Calabria by-election to the Chamber of Deputies of Italy.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Italian Ministry of the Interior (https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/).
Volume
$21Data di fine
28 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 3, 2026, 5:37 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://elezioni.interno.gov.it/Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...The by-election for Italy’s Calabria 05 constituency, triggered by Francesco Cannizzaro’s resignation after his mayoral win, features a closely contested race shaped by coalition dynamics ahead of the 27-28 September vote. Frank Benedetto leads trader pricing at 57% as the unified center-left candidate backed by PD, M5S and allied lists, while center-right support splits between Forza Italia’s Fabio Roscioli at 38.5% and Futuro Nazionale’s Domenico Giannetta at 25%, with Francesco Toscano at 16%. The fragmentation on the right, including Giannetta’s shift from Forza Italia, has narrowed the historical center-right advantage in the district and kept implied probabilities tight. Upcoming campaign events and turnout patterns among local voters could still shift positioning before ballots close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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