Russia's Supreme Court disqualified Yabloko's federal party list from the September 2026 State Duma ballot on August 10, with the appeal rejected on August 17, barring the liberal opposition party from nationwide proportional representation voting. This action follows sustained administrative pressure on the anti-war grouping, which has never exceeded the 5% electoral threshold since 1999 and polled around 1% in prior cycles. The ruling eliminates any realistic path for Yabloko to clear the Duma threshold via the party list, driving near-certain trader consensus toward "No." Limited single-mandate candidacies remain possible in some districts, though they do not affect threshold resolution; a further supervisory review or procedural reversal before the vote could theoretically alter outcomes but faces significant institutional barriers.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoElezioni in Russia: Yabloko supera la soglia della Duma?
Elezioni in Russia: Yabloko supera la soglia della Duma?
Sì
1% probabilità
$90,748 Vol.
$90,748 Vol.
20 set 2026
Sì
1% probabilità
$90,748 Vol.
$90,748 Vol.
20 set 2026
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Russia's Supreme Court disqualified Yabloko's federal party list from the September 2026 State Duma ballot on August 10, with the appeal rejected on August 17, barring the liberal opposition party from nationwide proportional representation voting. This action follows sustained administrative pressure on the anti-war grouping, which has never exceeded the 5% electoral threshold since 1999 and polled around 1% in prior cycles. The ruling eliminates any realistic path for Yabloko to clear the Duma threshold via the party list, driving near-certain trader consensus toward "No." Limited single-mandate candidacies remain possible in some districts, though they do not affect threshold resolution; a further supervisory review or procedural reversal before the vote could theoretically alter outcomes but faces significant institutional barriers.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Mercato aperto: Aug 7, 2026, 9:57 AM ET
Volume
$90,748Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 7, 2026, 9:57 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Russia's Supreme Court disqualified Yabloko's federal party list from the September 2026 State Duma ballot on August 10, with the appeal rejected on August 17, barring the liberal opposition party from nationwide proportional representation voting. This action follows sustained administrative pressure on the anti-war grouping, which has never exceeded the 5% electoral threshold since 1999 and polled around 1% in prior cycles. The ruling eliminates any realistic path for Yabloko to clear the Duma threshold via the party list, driving near-certain trader consensus toward "No." Limited single-mandate candidacies remain possible in some districts, though they do not affect threshold resolution; a further supervisory review or procedural reversal before the vote could theoretically alter outcomes but faces significant institutional barriers.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$90,748Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 7, 2026, 9:57 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russia's Supreme Court disqualified Yabloko's federal party list from the September 2026 State Duma ballot on August 10, with the appeal rejected on August 17, barring the liberal opposition party from nationwide proportional representation voting. This action follows sustained administrative pressure on the anti-war grouping, which has never exceeded the 5% electoral threshold since 1999 and polled around 1% in prior cycles. The ruling eliminates any realistic path for Yabloko to clear the Duma threshold via the party list, driving near-certain trader consensus toward "No." Limited single-mandate candidacies remain possible in some districts, though they do not affect threshold resolution; a further supervisory review or procedural reversal before the vote could theoretically alter outcomes but faces significant institutional barriers.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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