South Africa’s 2026 inflation outlook reflects a temporary upward revision driven by the recent oil-price shock from Middle East tensions, which has lifted administered prices and pushed the SARB’s baseline forecast to a 3.7% average for the year, with a peak near 4% in the second quarter. March 2026 CPI printed at 3.1%, only modestly above February’s 3.0% reading, while core measures remain near the new 3% target. Traders price the 2.9–3.5% range as the most likely outcome, balancing expectations that fuel costs will moderate later in the year against upside risks from sustained Brent prices above $100 and rand weakness. The next Monetary Policy Committee decision on 28 May and the May CPI release will provide the clearest near-term signals for resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato4,4-4,7% 8.8%
3,5-3,8% 7.1%
>5,0% 3.8%
4,7-5,0% 3.0%
$21,375 Vol.
$21,375 Vol.
20 gen 2027
<2,6%
14%
2,6-2,9%
16%
2,9-3,2%
42%
3,2-3,5%
40%
3,5-3,8%
16%
3,8-4,1%
30%
4,1-4,4%
33%
4,4-4,7%
9%
4,7-5,0%
22%
>5,0%
17%
4,4-4,7% 8.8%
3,5-3,8% 7.1%
>5,0% 3.8%
4,7-5,0% 3.0%
$21,375 Vol.
$21,375 Vol.
20 gen 2027
<2,6%
$267 Vol.
14%
2,6-2,9%
$282 Vol.
16%
2,9-3,2%
$369 Vol.
42%
3,2-3,5%
$369 Vol.
40%
3,5-3,8%
$471 Vol.
16%
3,8-4,1%
$661 Vol.
30%
4,1-4,4%
$539 Vol.
33%
4,4-4,7%
$12,095 Vol.
9%
4,7-5,0%
$373 Vol.
22%
>5,0%
$5,948 Vol.
17%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874South Africa’s 2026 inflation outlook reflects a temporary upward revision driven by the recent oil-price shock from Middle East tensions, which has lifted administered prices and pushed the SARB’s baseline forecast to a 3.7% average for the year, with a peak near 4% in the second quarter. March 2026 CPI printed at 3.1%, only modestly above February’s 3.0% reading, while core measures remain near the new 3% target. Traders price the 2.9–3.5% range as the most likely outcome, balancing expectations that fuel costs will moderate later in the year against upside risks from sustained Brent prices above $100 and rand weakness. The next Monetary Policy Committee decision on 28 May and the May CPI release will provide the clearest near-term signals for resolution.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
Mercato aperto: Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
Volume
$21,375Data di fine
20 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874South Africa’s 2026 inflation outlook reflects a temporary upward revision driven by the recent oil-price shock from Middle East tensions, which has lifted administered prices and pushed the SARB’s baseline forecast to a 3.7% average for the year, with a peak near 4% in the second quarter. March 2026 CPI printed at 3.1%, only modestly above February’s 3.0% reading, while core measures remain near the new 3% target. Traders price the 2.9–3.5% range as the most likely outcome, balancing expectations that fuel costs will moderate later in the year against upside risks from sustained Brent prices above $100 and rand weakness. The next Monetary Policy Committee decision on 28 May and the May CPI release will provide the clearest near-term signals for resolution.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Africa over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Y/Y, % change), as reported by Statistics South Africa.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics South Africa report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Publications page (https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1859), selecting the report, and selecting “Key Findings (Summary)". The relevant figure will be the figure for annual consumer price inflation (Y/Y, %) in the relevant month. Changes in Statistics South Africa’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics South Africa Consumer Price Index report which reports inflation during 12-month periods to one decimal point (e.g. 3.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.statssa.gov.za/?page_id=1874
Volume
$21,375Data di fine
20 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Africa’s 2026 inflation outlook reflects a temporary upward revision driven by the recent oil-price shock from Middle East tensions, which has lifted administered prices and pushed the SARB’s baseline forecast to a 3.7% average for the year, with a peak near 4% in the second quarter. March 2026 CPI printed at 3.1%, only modestly above February’s 3.0% reading, while core measures remain near the new 3% target. Traders price the 2.9–3.5% range as the most likely outcome, balancing expectations that fuel costs will moderate later in the year against upside risks from sustained Brent prices above $100 and rand weakness. The next Monetary Policy Committee decision on 28 May and the May CPI release will provide the clearest near-term signals for resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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