**Darline Graham Nordone holds a commanding position in Lexington County for the August 25 Republican runoff due to her residence there, strong first-round performance, and broad institutional backing.** She captured the county outright in the August 11 primary as the top vote-getter statewide at roughly 33 percent, outpacing Ralph Norman’s 25 percent finish and advancing comfortably ahead of other contenders including Russell Fry. Her Trump endorsement and recent support from Fry have reinforced momentum among Republican voters, while Norman’s narrower geographic base—concentrated in the Upstate and his home district—limits his reach in the Midlands. The short campaign window, limited early voting period ending August 21, and upcoming debate have kept focus on these established factors rather than introducing major shifts. Trader consensus prices reflect the structural advantages and recent county-level results that position Nordone as the clear leader locally.