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icon for The Pas-Kameesak Manitoba Legislative Assembly By-Election Winner
Politica·Canada

The Pas-Kameesak Manitoba Legislative Assembly By-Election Winner

icon for The Pas-Kameesak Manitoba Legislative Assembly By-Election Winner
Politica·Canada

The Pas-Kameesak Manitoba Legislative Assembly By-Election Winner

Jennifer Flett 98.0%

Dan Quesnel <1%

Wally Daudrich <1%

Edna Nabess <1%

Polymarket

$17,951 Vol.

Jennifer Flett 98.0%

Dan Quesnel <1%

Wally Daudrich <1%

Edna Nabess <1%

Polymarket

$17,951 Vol.

icon for Jennifer Flett

Jennifer Flett

$12,741 Vol.

98%

icon for Dan Quesnel

Dan Quesnel

$1,277 Vol.

<1%

icon for Wally Daudrich

Wally Daudrich

$1,160 Vol.

<1%

icon for Edna Nabess

Edna Nabess

$2,773 Vol.

<1%

A by-election for the Manitoba Legislative Assembly District The Pas-Kameesak is currently scheduled to be held on July 21, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Pas-Kameesak Manitoba Legislative Assembly by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Manitoba (https://www.electionsmanitoba.ca/).The by-election for The Pas-Kameesak, called after the March 2026 death of long-serving NDP MLA Amanda Lathlin, is set for July 21 in a northern Manitoba riding that has favored the NDP in recent cycles. Recent nominations have produced a crowded field, with Jennifer Flett securing the NDP nod over family-linked rivals, Edna Nabess selected by the Progressive Conservatives, Dan Quesnel named by the Liberals, and Wally Daudrich entering for the Keystone Party after leaving the PCs. With roughly three weeks remaining and no public polling available, trader pricing reflects broad uncertainty over which candidate can consolidate support in a multi-party contest. Local turnout patterns, last-minute endorsements, or candidate forums could quickly alter implied probabilities across the leading names.

A by-election for the Manitoba Legislative Assembly District The Pas-Kameesak is currently scheduled to be held on July 21, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Pas-Kameesak Manitoba Legislative Assembly by-election.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Manitoba (https://www.electionsmanitoba.ca/).
Volume
$17,951
Data di fine
21 lug 2026
Mercato aperto
Jul 2, 2026, 3:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the Manitoba Legislative Assembly District The Pas-Kameesak is currently scheduled to be held on July 21, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Pas-Kameesak Manitoba Legislative Assembly by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Manitoba (https://www.electionsmanitoba.ca/).
A by-election for the Manitoba Legislative Assembly District The Pas-Kameesak is currently scheduled to be held on July 21, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Pas-Kameesak Manitoba Legislative Assembly by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Manitoba (https://www.electionsmanitoba.ca/).The by-election for The Pas-Kameesak, called after the March 2026 death of long-serving NDP MLA Amanda Lathlin, is set for July 21 in a northern Manitoba riding that has favored the NDP in recent cycles. Recent nominations have produced a crowded field, with Jennifer Flett securing the NDP nod over family-linked rivals, Edna Nabess selected by the Progressive Conservatives, Dan Quesnel named by the Liberals, and Wally Daudrich entering for the Keystone Party after leaving the PCs. With roughly three weeks remaining and no public polling available, trader pricing reflects broad uncertainty over which candidate can consolidate support in a multi-party contest. Local turnout patterns, last-minute endorsements, or candidate forums could quickly alter implied probabilities across the leading names.

A by-election for the Manitoba Legislative Assembly District The Pas-Kameesak is currently scheduled to be held on July 21, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Pas-Kameesak Manitoba Legislative Assembly by-election.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Manitoba (https://www.electionsmanitoba.ca/).
Volume
$17,951
Data di fine
21 lug 2026
Mercato aperto
Jul 2, 2026, 3:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the Manitoba Legislative Assembly District The Pas-Kameesak is currently scheduled to be held on July 21, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Pas-Kameesak Manitoba Legislative Assembly by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Manitoba (https://www.electionsmanitoba.ca/).

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Domande frequenti

"The Pas-Kameesak Manitoba Legislative Assembly By-Election Winner" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 4 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Jennifer Flett" a 98%, seguito da "Dan Quesnel" a 0%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 98¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 98% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "The Pas-Kameesak Manitoba Legislative Assembly By-Election Winner" ha generato $18K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Jul 2, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "The Pas-Kameesak Manitoba Legislative Assembly By-Election Winner", esplora i 4 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "The Pas-Kameesak Manitoba Legislative Assembly By-Election Winner" è "Jennifer Flett" a 98%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 98% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Dan Quesnel" a 0%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "The Pas-Kameesak Manitoba Legislative Assembly By-Election Winner" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.