Trader consensus assigns nearly identical probabilities across approval rating bands from below 37.0 to 39.0+, underscoring a closely contested outcome one week before the August 28 measurement date. This tightness stems from limited movement in recent national polling averages, steady economic indicators, and the absence of major new legislative or diplomatic developments capable of shifting public sentiment in either direction. Incremental changes in consumer confidence, border security metrics, or foreign policy announcements within the next several days could separate the ranges, while stable conditions through the weekend would likely preserve the balanced distribution reflected in current market pricing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato<37,0 45%
37,0–37,4 45%
37,5–37,9 45%
38,0–38,4 45%
NUOVO
NUOVO
28 ago 2026
<37,0
45%
37,0–37,4
45%
37,5–37,9
45%
38,0–38,4
45%
38,5–38,9
45%
39,0+
43%
<37,0 45%
37,0–37,4 45%
37,5–37,9 45%
38,0–38,4 45%
NUOVO
NUOVO
28 ago 2026
<37,0
$0 Vol.
45%
37,0–37,4
$0 Vol.
45%
37,5–37,9
$0 Vol.
45%
38,0–38,4
$0 Vol.
45%
38,5–38,9
$0 Vol.
45%
39,0+
$10 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 28, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus assigns nearly identical probabilities across approval rating bands from below 37.0 to 39.0+, underscoring a closely contested outcome one week before the August 28 measurement date. This tightness stems from limited movement in recent national polling averages, steady economic indicators, and the absence of major new legislative or diplomatic developments capable of shifting public sentiment in either direction. Incremental changes in consumer confidence, border security metrics, or foreign policy announcements within the next several days could separate the ranges, while stable conditions through the weekend would likely preserve the balanced distribution reflected in current market pricing.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 28, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercato aperto: Aug 21, 2026, 3:07 PM ET
Volume
$10Data di fine
28 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 28, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus assigns nearly identical probabilities across approval rating bands from below 37.0 to 39.0+, underscoring a closely contested outcome one week before the August 28 measurement date. This tightness stems from limited movement in recent national polling averages, steady economic indicators, and the absence of major new legislative or diplomatic developments capable of shifting public sentiment in either direction. Incremental changes in consumer confidence, border security metrics, or foreign policy announcements within the next several days could separate the ranges, while stable conditions through the weekend would likely preserve the balanced distribution reflected in current market pricing.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 28, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$10Data di fine
28 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus assigns nearly identical probabilities across approval rating bands from below 37.0 to 39.0+, underscoring a closely contested outcome one week before the August 28 measurement date. This tightness stems from limited movement in recent national polling averages, steady economic indicators, and the absence of major new legislative or diplomatic developments capable of shifting public sentiment in either direction. Incremental changes in consumer confidence, border security metrics, or foreign policy announcements within the next several days could separate the ranges, while stable conditions through the weekend would likely preserve the balanced distribution reflected in current market pricing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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