US military forces carried out a major operation in Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife on narco-terrorism charges after months of escalating pressure that included Caribbean naval deployments and strikes on suspected drug vessels. The Trump administration has since indicated it will oversee aspects of governance and oil infrastructure during a transition period. Regional diplomatic responses remain divided, with some nations condemning the action and others supporting it, while reports of renewed bilateral relations have emerged. Key factors for traders include the pace of any post-capture stabilization, potential further US troop movements tied to counter-narcotics or security goals, and scheduled diplomatic or policy milestones through mid-2026 that could extend or limit military involvement.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$1,298,270 Vol.
31 gen 2026
30 giugno
6%
$1,298,270 Vol.
30 giugno
$213,507 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US military forces carried out a major operation in Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife on narco-terrorism charges after months of escalating pressure that included Caribbean naval deployments and strikes on suspected drug vessels. The Trump administration has since indicated it will oversee aspects of governance and oil infrastructure during a transition period. Regional diplomatic responses remain divided, with some nations condemning the action and others supporting it, while reports of renewed bilateral relations have emerged. Key factors for traders include the pace of any post-capture stabilization, potential further US troop movements tied to counter-narcotics or security goals, and scheduled diplomatic or policy milestones through mid-2026 that could extend or limit military involvement.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ET
Volume
$1,298,270Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US military forces carried out a major operation in Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife on narco-terrorism charges after months of escalating pressure that included Caribbean naval deployments and strikes on suspected drug vessels. The Trump administration has since indicated it will oversee aspects of governance and oil infrastructure during a transition period. Regional diplomatic responses remain divided, with some nations condemning the action and others supporting it, while reports of renewed bilateral relations have emerged. Key factors for traders include the pace of any post-capture stabilization, potential further US troop movements tied to counter-narcotics or security goals, and scheduled diplomatic or policy milestones through mid-2026 that could extend or limit military involvement.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,298,270Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US military forces carried out a major operation in Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife on narco-terrorism charges after months of escalating pressure that included Caribbean naval deployments and strikes on suspected drug vessels. The Trump administration has since indicated it will oversee aspects of governance and oil infrastructure during a transition period. Regional diplomatic responses remain divided, with some nations condemning the action and others supporting it, while reports of renewed bilateral relations have emerged. Key factors for traders include the pace of any post-capture stabilization, potential further US troop movements tied to counter-narcotics or security goals, and scheduled diplomatic or policy milestones through mid-2026 that could extend or limit military involvement.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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