Tensions between the United States and Cuba have intensified under the Trump administration through new sanctions targeting regime officials, expanded intelligence surveillance flights near the island, and public threats of military action linked to prior operations in Venezuela. U.S. officials have nevertheless stated that no imminent strike is under consideration, with diplomacy and economic measures remaining the primary tools as of mid-May 2026. Cuban leaders have responded by conducting defensive drills and rejecting any perceived aggression while maintaining red lines in faltering talks. Traders appear to view these developments as heightening pressure without crossing into direct military confrontation this year, consistent with historical patterns of sanctions preceding kinetic action and the absence of confirmed troop movements or strikes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoScontro militare USA-Cuba nel 2026?
Scontro militare USA-Cuba nel 2026?
$109,439 Vol.
$109,439 Vol.
31 dic 2026
$109,439 Vol.
$109,439 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of the United States and Cuba between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between US and Cuban military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
Note: the United States Coast Guard is considered part of the United States military, and the Cuban Border Guard is considered part of the Cuban military.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Tensions between the United States and Cuba have intensified under the Trump administration through new sanctions targeting regime officials, expanded intelligence surveillance flights near the island, and public threats of military action linked to prior operations in Venezuela. U.S. officials have nevertheless stated that no imminent strike is under consideration, with diplomacy and economic measures remaining the primary tools as of mid-May 2026. Cuban leaders have responded by conducting defensive drills and rejecting any perceived aggression while maintaining red lines in faltering talks. Traders appear to view these developments as heightening pressure without crossing into direct military confrontation this year, consistent with historical patterns of sanctions preceding kinetic action and the absence of confirmed troop movements or strikes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of the United States and Cuba between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between US and Cuban military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
Note: the United States Coast Guard is considered part of the United States military, and the Cuban Border Guard is considered part of the Cuban military.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between US and Cuban military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
Note: the United States Coast Guard is considered part of the United States military, and the Cuban Border Guard is considered part of the Cuban military.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Feb 25, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
Volume
$109,439Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 25, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of the United States and Cuba between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between US and Cuban military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
Note: the United States Coast Guard is considered part of the United States military, and the Cuban Border Guard is considered part of the Cuban military.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Tensions between the United States and Cuba have intensified under the Trump administration through new sanctions targeting regime officials, expanded intelligence surveillance flights near the island, and public threats of military action linked to prior operations in Venezuela. U.S. officials have nevertheless stated that no imminent strike is under consideration, with diplomacy and economic measures remaining the primary tools as of mid-May 2026. Cuban leaders have responded by conducting defensive drills and rejecting any perceived aggression while maintaining red lines in faltering talks. Traders appear to view these developments as heightening pressure without crossing into direct military confrontation this year, consistent with historical patterns of sanctions preceding kinetic action and the absence of confirmed troop movements or strikes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of the United States and Cuba between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between US and Cuban military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
Note: the United States Coast Guard is considered part of the United States military, and the Cuban Border Guard is considered part of the Cuban military.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between US and Cuban military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
Note: the United States Coast Guard is considered part of the United States military, and the Cuban Border Guard is considered part of the Cuban military.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$109,439Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 25, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Tensions between the United States and Cuba have intensified under the Trump administration through new sanctions targeting regime officials, expanded intelligence surveillance flights near the island, and public threats of military action linked to prior operations in Venezuela. U.S. officials have nevertheless stated that no imminent strike is under consideration, with diplomacy and economic measures remaining the primary tools as of mid-May 2026. Cuban leaders have responded by conducting defensive drills and rejecting any perceived aggression while maintaining red lines in faltering talks. Traders appear to view these developments as heightening pressure without crossing into direct military confrontation this year, consistent with historical patterns of sanctions preceding kinetic action and the absence of confirmed troop movements or strikes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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